I highlighted 2 matches yesterday in the post Laying the Draw and Greening Up after a goal The first was PSG – Odds on Favourite to annihilate Lille in Paris and QPR v Notts Forest -an evenly matched championship game between 2 mid-ish table sides with QPR being home favourites by just a small margin. Foolishly I forgot to note the odds of the QPR game but as I noted above one side was odds on (1.41) and the other an evenly matched game.
PSG eventually won the game 2-1 but not before Lille scored first in the 31st minute. As I was trading out of the lay bet after the first goal the scenario outlined in the post came to fruition and the software greened up the bet for a loss of £6.93. I did no research on this match and while PSG eventually won with 2 late goals and a straight lay bet would have won this is not the point of the exercise.
The other game where I did do a little research and concluded that there would be a likelihood of a goal being scored and a profit if either team scored first did come out with a small 83p profit. This game ended 1-1 with each goal being scored in added time of each half (QPR scored first in the 45+5 minute and Notts Forest equalising in the 90+1 minute. A straight lay the draw bet on this game would have been cruelly lost at the very end of the game.
Along with these 2 games I also included the 4 Dutch games played last evening also without research and the following happened
Den Bosch v Jong FC Utrecht
47p Profit
2-1 Den Bosch scored first in the 19th Minute
Emmen v VVV Venlo
£3.33 Profit
1-0 Emmen scored in the 62nd minute
FC Volendam v FC Dordrecht
£1.11 Loss
4-2 FC Dordrecht scored in the 8th minute
MVV Maastricht v Roda JC
£48.00 Loss
0-0 OUCH!!!
I am not put off by these turn of events and this only goes to show that research and testing is key to the conundrum.
Todays Premiership games have already been loaded into Betangel and I will be posting later on my research into these matches
Betornot 