Day 4
2018
Race 1 -£3.00
Race 2 -£3.00
Race 3 -£3.00
Race 4 -£3.00
Race 5 -£3.00
Race 6 -£3.00
Race 7 -£3.00
Total Day Loss -£21.00
Total Festival Loss for 2018 -£26.42
2019
Race 1 +£18.00
Race 2 -£3.00
Race 3 -£3.00
Race 4 -£3.00
Race 5 -£3.00
Race 6 -£3.00
Race 7 -£3.00
Total Days Profit Loss £0.00
Total Festival Profit for 2019 £18.49
2020
Race 1 -£3.00
Race 2 +£3.00
Race 3 -£3.00
Race 4 +1.33
Race 5 -£3.00
Race 6 +£1.50
Race 7 -£3.00
Total Days loss -£6.17
Total 2020 Festival Loss -£4.52
The total loss incured over 3 years when backing 3 horses per race at level £1.00 stakes (252 bets) -£12.45 This works out at a loss of 15p per race 🤣
Category Archives: Cheltenham
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 4 Race 7
The final race of this years festival is The Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle. There have been 12 runnings of this race and in the past 3 the winners have all carried top weight. The name Mullins tops the trainers rostrum again with 3 wins to date albeit the last one was in 2015. He does however have 3 entries that are in the top 10 betting with Gentleman De Mee and Ganapathi 1st and 2nd favs respectively!
2018 ( 23 Ran)
1 Mr Big Shot
2 Burrows Saint
3 Early Doors
Winner : Blow By Blow 12/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (24 Ran)
1 Discordantly
2 Cartwright
3 Style De Garde
Winner : Early Doors 5/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2020 (23 Ran)
1 Front View
2 The Bosses Oscar
3 Column Of Fire
Winner: Indefatigable 25/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
With another race at Maximum loss it would seem that the Timeform Team are perhaps a bit “fatigable” by day 4 😁😁😁 either that or too much of that wonderful Leeds brew Tetleys but you know what they used to say “If you can’t beat ’em Join ’em”
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 4 Race 6
The penultimate race of this years festival is a brand new affair involving mares. Sponsored by Paddy Power it is of no surprise that Mr Mullins has no fewer than 6 Mares entered. Being a specialist in winning Mares only races the focus has to be on this trainer of indisputable talent. Looking at his entries, two of them have been tipped by R.P. tipsters Elimay and Colreevy and both of these mares have form warrenting their 1st and 2nd favourite status. Elimay last won against the Elliott trained Shattered Love who is also entered and is currently 3rd fav. Colreevy was in action in a grade 1 race at Limericks’ Christmas meeting winning the Matchbook Betting Exchange Faugheen Novice Chase by 1/2 length to another Elliott runner Pencilfulloflead. With no previous race to compare there are no Timeform1-2-3 stats to post. I would imagine that Mullins horses might well feature in their ratings though.
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 4 Race 5
The Foxhunter as it is commonly known is also sometimes referred to as the amateur Gold Cup and is always run straight after the actual Gold Cup. As mentioned in earlier blogs amateur riders are excluded from racing this year due to a british government not closing borders at the start of this pantomime. The failings of this Parliament, however, are not the aim of this blog but the real excitement of winning or losing money on a ton of horse is. Previous renewals of this race have seen a definite pattern of doubles occurring in the past 10 years with Salsify, On The Fringe and Pacha Du Polder all winning twice on the bounce. It Came To Pass was last years winner and is in the entries at an ante-post price of 12/1 and an RPR of 155 (top rated with Bob and Co) Previous Timeform1-2-3 picks faired as follows
2018 (24 Ran)
1 Caid Du Berlais
2 Wonderful Charm
3 Foxrock
Winner : Pasher Du Polder 14/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (24 Ran)
1 Caid Du Berlais
2 Road To Rome
3 Stand Up And Fight
Winner : Hazel Hill 7/2f
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2020 (21 Ran)
1 Caid Du Berlais
2 Hazel Hill
3 Law Of Gold
Winner : It Came To Pass 66/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
As with the Gold Cup proper it seems the jockeys outfoxed Timeform again with a maximum loss over the 3 years
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 4 Race 4
The Cheltenham Gold Cup – its what we wait all year for and its all over in about 7 minutes of pure adrenalin fueled joy or despair depending on who your money was on. Al Boum Photo will be going for 3 on the bounce to equal the likes of Cottage Rake, Arkle and Best Mate. There are so many trends to this race that the mind boggles and picking the winner is not as simple as backing the favourite (only 4 from the last 10 renewals have managed it)
2018 (15 Ran)
1 Definitely Red
2 Might Bite
3 Our Duke
Winner : Native River 4/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (16 Ran)
1 Kemboy
2 Native River
3 Shattered Love
Winner : Al Boum Photo 12/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2020 (12 Ran)
1 Delta Work
2 Clan Des Obeaux
3 Al Boum Photo
Winner : Al Boum Photo 10/3
Profit/Loss +£1.33
not even each-way bets would have saved Timeform 1-2-3
Win some lose some 🤷♂️
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 4 Race 3
The Albert Bartlett is one of those races introduced 16 years ago when the festival went from 3 days to four. Run over 3 miles and 12 hurdles. Of the 16 renewals 15 had won or placed in a graded novice hurdle, the only exception was last years winner Monkfish who had no graded form at all. The leading trainer is Jonjo O’Neill who has a 100% record of 2 for 2 whilst Mullins also has 2 wins but not the percentage. Both of Mullins runners that won had won last time out.
2018 (20 Ran)
1 Poetic Rhythm
2 Chef Des Obeaux
3 Chris’s Dream
Winner : Kilbricken Storm 25/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (20 Ran)
1 Dickie Diver
2 Lisnagar Oscar
3 Allaho
Winner : Minella Indo 50/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2020 (19 Ran)
1 Latest Exhibition
2 Thyme Hill
3 Harry Senior
Winner : Monkfish
Profit/Loss -£3.00
Points to note however is that in 2020 Latest Exhibition and Thyme Hill Both Placed at 9/2 and 4/1 respectively 2019 saw Dickie Diver place at 14/1 and Allaho at 8/1 but 2018 didn’t get a single placed horse from Timeform.
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 4 Race 2
The County Handicap Hurdle has been won by just two trainers in the past 6 years Willie Mullins and Dan Skelton and with the exception of Wicklow Brave in 2015 the winning horses have either won or placed last time out. There is no particular pattern to any previous race as “last time out” ranges from 418 days to 6 days as in the case of the aforementioned Wicklow Brave.
Saint Roi was the 1st favourite to win last year in ten years but we need to note that Mullins was having a ball and Saint Roi was heavily backed in from 6/1 to 9/2 eventually drifting out to its S.P. of 11/2.
2018 (24 Ran)
1 Whiskey Sour
2 Flying Tiger
3 Chesterfield
Winner : Mohaayed 20/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (24 Ran)
1 Monsieur LeCoq
2 We Have A Dream
3 Countistr
Winner : Ch’Tibello 12/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2020 (24 Ran)
1 You Raised Me Up
2 Sir Valentine
3 Saint Roi
Winner : Saint Roi 11/2
Profit/Loss +£3.50
An overall loss over 3 years for the Timeform team in this race.
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 4 Race 1
The Triumph Hurdle is the opening race of Gold Cup day and the Spring Hurdle seem to be a popular proving ground with 5 of the last 10 winners having placed or won this event the previous month at Leopardstown. No one trainer has won this race more than twice in the last 10 years and Gordon Elliott certainly won’t be making it 3 this year. Hendersons’ 2019 win with Pentland Hills was his second but only because Goshen threw the race away.
2018 (9Ran)
1 Apples Shakira
2 Stormy Ireland
3 Redicean
Winner : Farclas 6/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (14 Ran)
1 Sir Erec
2 Gardens of Babylon
3 Pentland Hills
Winner : Pentland Hills 20/1
Profit/Loss +£18.00
2020 (13 Ran)
1 Goshen
2 Allmankind
3 Sir Psyco
Winner : Burning Victory 12/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
Race Profit over 3 years +£12.00 – Thankyou Goshen 🤑👍🤑
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Summary
Day 3
2018
Race 1 +£2.00
Race 2 -£3.00
Race 3 +£6.00
Race 4 -£3.00
Race 5 +£3.00
Race 6 -£1.43
Race 7 -£3.00
Days Profit/Loss +£0.57
Total Profit/Loss (2018) -£5.42
2019
Race 1 +£1.00
Race 2 +£2.00
Race 3 +£2.50
Race 4 -£0.62
Race 5 -£3.00
Race 6 -£3.00
Race 7 +£4.00
Days Profit/Loss +£2.88
Total Profit/Loss (2019) +£18.49
2020
Race 1 -£3.00
Race 2 +£8.00
Race 3 +£0.00
Race 4 -£3.00
Race 5 +£1.33
Race 6 -£3.00
Race 7 -£3.00
Days Profit/Loss -£2.67
Total Profit/Loss (2020) +£1.65
Day 3 comes out, over 3 years taking in all 63 races, in profit of £15.59
Follow for the final days stats.
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 7
The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Riders Handicap Chase was formerly run on day two but was moved to day 3 in 2009 and is now run on the new course from its original running on the old course. If this race is run this year, professional jockeys will take up the reins as our government is pathetic!! Anyway here are the last 3 years Timeform 1-2-3 stats.
2018 (20Ran)
1 Pendra
2 Mall Dini
3 Band of Blood
Winner : Missed Approach 8/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (23 Ran)
1 Its All Guesswork
2 Live Love Laugh
3 Any Second Now
Winner : Any Second Now 6/1
Profit/Loss +£4.00
2020 (23 Ran)
1 Plan Of Attack
2 Fitzhenry
3 Deise Aba
Winner : Milan Native 9/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
No single Trainer has won this more than twice in the last 10 years and the only one to do so is Gordon Elliott 🤦♂️🤷♂️. Having said this Irish trained horses have won 4 of the past 7 renewals
Betornot 