Paddy Powers’ “Beat The Drop” Question 2

Almost forgot all about this “freebie” and decided to have a look at the questions to see if any were jumping from the screen.
In the English League 1 tonight Sunderland host Oxford Utd and there were 2 questions for this game
“Will both Teams score?” and “Will Sunderland Win the Match?”
As you can see from the screen shot I decided to go all in against the win.
Lets take a look at the first question – without odds and assuming both teams are of equal ability.
To answer Yes to both teams to score and win Both teams need to score! but if you answer No many other outcomes win. A win to nil for either team will win it or a 0-0 draw but as soon as both team score its all over
If you Answer Yes to the second question Sunderland have to win! If you answer No then the match can end in a draw or an Oxford win both teams can score or not score it makes no difference.
So with 2 outcomes as opposed to 1 the win/lose question would probably be the favoured yes/no.
Now I come to the reasons
Oxford are chasing the promotion play-off placings and only 2 points behind 6th place Gillingham with 2 games in hand. With only Gillingham and Sunderland to play this season that are above them in the table a win or draw would be a tremendous boost to both morale and placings. When playing away Oxford have gained 25 points from 19 games. Oxford have won or drawn 11 away games whilst losing 8.
Sunderlands’ home record when playing matches against teams who are 5 places above and 5 places below, have won just 2 of these, Ipswich 2-1 and Doncaster 4-1. They have lost against M.K. Dons 1-2 and Portsmouth 1-3. Lincoln and Gillingham ended as draws. These being the cons for Sunderland it would not be fair to exclude their pros for winning this game. They are 3 points behind Hull City at the top with 2 games in hand. They have scored in 94% of their home games and scored first 72%.

Just a final pointer
Of the last 5 meetings of these two teams 3 games ended in a draw and the 2 times Sunderland were at home the score was 1-1!