Templegate NAP – Betornot

Hugh Taylor – Don’t be in a Rush To Back His Selections 5th June – The Results

Yesterday I backed 3 ofHugh Taylors four selections at S.P. (one was a non-runner). Here’s what happened (If you have just happened upon this post and are thinking why would I back a horse at SP when the price is steaming in please read the post I did on researching his April Selections the link is immediately below and will open in a new tab)

Racing Tipsters and Bookies.

£3.78 was my profit before these bets went on and with the stakes used they took me into a loss before they ran.

First to run was Phoenix Passion in the 16:27 at Nottingham and It actually won!!

Backed with a stake 0f £3.07 at S.P. for a target profit of £5.00 at equivalent odds of 13/8 the S.P was in fact 11/5 giving an actual profit of £6.75, £1.75 more than if I had just backed it at the available odds at the time.

Second to run was Remaat backed at odds of 3/1 as SkyBet operated a BOG policy with this race.

Remaat came a close second as as you can see from the bet settlement the odds drifted out significantly to 15/2 at post time.

Third and Final runner was Miss Kubelik who in actual fact didnt even place but went off at odds of 5/1 (6.00) this was greater than the advised odds

So after a good win and 2 also rans my profit now stands at £7.36.

Templegates July NAPs Record

In a previous post I quoted that Templegates £1.00 Level stake profit/loss for July was -£5.62 with one Nap left to run. This figure was in fact incorrect, his actual P/L to £1.00 level stakes for July was -£11.10. The figure I quoted was for a 10% staking plan (Staking 10% of a starting bank of £10.00 and adding any profit and loss to the bank and recalculating the stake for the next day). This figure was when all NAPs were run came out as a £5.87 Loss.
If you had Layed all of his NAPs at the exchange at BSP (Betfair Starting Price) to the minimum £2.00 stake required by Betfair then your actual profit would have been £19.12 when all commissions had been paid (In my case it is 2% but the normal commission rate is 5% which would have resulted in a profit of £17.68)
Again I must correct myself as to an error in the previous post stating that the profit when laying his NAPs was £27.16 with just one to go. This is because I did all of my calculations starting with a bank of £10.00 and forgot to subtract this at the end of the month. apologies for giving you an adrenalin rush in the sheer magnitude of this profit figure 😆
I have posted the excel spreadsheet below for download if anyone is interested in this
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The next Tipster under the Microscope will be Sporting Life who also has a overall profit in the NAPs table but how well did they do in July alone and would it be worth looking at Laying these NAPs as Well

templegates-nap-record-july-2021 Download

Laying Horses for a profit?

I am sure that the majority of people reading this post will know what laying a horse – or any sporting event is, but there are still people who, through no fault of their own, have yet to discover the minefields of the exchanges. Without going into too much blurb, a betting exchange is where you can be a bookie or a punter. Being a bookie involves you betting that a horse, greyhound, footballer, politician or just about anything else will not win. This is called “laying” the horse, greyhound, footballer, politician or just about anything else. So far So Good. This must be easy to win with, after all who has ever heard of a poor bookmaker! While I was compiling the daily NAPs stats for another post it suddenly struck me as to the amount of losing streaks these tipsters have and how we as punters, constantly looking for ways of beating the bookie, but why shouldn’t we be the bookie. I have, up to the time of writing this blog, only analyzed the overall leading tipster in the NAPs table, this being Templegate from the Sun newspaper and at £1.00 level stakes for the month of July, and with today’s NAP yet to run he is at a loss of £5.42. If we had laid his selections at BSP (Betfair Starting Price) we would be in profit to a tune of £27.16!! We do have to take into consideration, however, that the minimum bet on Betfair is £2.00 and in my case, a 2% commission is taken from the winnings. Having only 7 winners in July so far and 1 NAP left to run we are guaranteed a profit unless Hurricane Ivor goes off at 15.0 and wins!!! His biggest-priced winner was Guru at Ascot on the 24th at 5.5 and cost us £9.10. His biggest priced selection was Chookie Dunedin on the 5th July which started at a BSP of 11.37 and would have been a £20.74 loss should it have won.
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The initial Bet-Or-Not verdict on this one is I will be reserving a £20.00 bank on my Betfair Account to live test this in september when I have looked into which Tipster is most likely to not win 😁