Finally finished my deck in the garden yesterday but as a consequence of a late finish missed most of yesterdays football, I didnt even see a Soccer Saturday Price Boost perhaps that was on Friday. However SkyBet offered odds of 2.75 for over 1.5 goals in the 1st half in the Leicester v Man City game. After some hasty research concluded that this bet was worth the risk for the following reasons
Manchester City when playing away have scored 53% of their goals in the 1st half and Leicester City have conceded 54% of goals in the 1st half when at home. The Over 1.5 goals market in Leicester City’s home games has been settled 8 times this season before the half time whistle. This from 14 home games played.
A deeper look into half time goals sees that Man City on average score 1.07 goals in the 1st 45 minutes and Leicester 0.8 giving an overall average of 1.87. This, however, is only the half of it and I am perhaps guilty of making the stats fit to my bet because if we look at conceded goals Leicester only concede an average of .67 and Man City 0.20.
There was a bit of a bonus to this though, as SkyBet offered a matched free bet up to £5.00 for this game. I have gained 2 more £5.00 free bets this week bringing my total towards next years Cheltenham up to £30.00 when my weekly free bet gets credited by Monday night.
Betornot 