The 15 tick drop – taking it a Step Further

Due to my workload this past week I have been unable to carry on my study of the 15 tick “system” but yesterday when I was going back through my bets of the “most Tipped horses” it struck me that even though most of the bets were just over evens or odds on there were too many losers! What if I employed the 15 tick system to all of the highly tipped horses. So without further ado I listed the 10 most tipped horses of the day and exported thier form from the “InRunning Trading Tool” website into the spreadsheet I have provided below

Of these 10 horses 4 of them did not win (Alhezabr later being dropped to 2nd place in a stewards enquiry) but ALL of them traded at at least 15 ticks below their B.S.P making a 100% strike rate.

Horse	Meeting	Time	Tips	BSP	i-p low	15 tick odds	result
Silk Romance	Newmarket	13:10	11	1.75	1.01	1.6	1st
Razzle Dazzle	Newmarket	14:20	9	1.95	1.01	1.8	1st
Percy’s Pride	Ffos Las	15:05	10	1.42	1.01	1.27	1st
Alhezabr	Ffos Las	15:40	10	2.04	1.08	1.87	2nd
Asjad	Ffos Las	16:10	13	1.79	1.12	1.64	2nd
Kentucky Rose	Hamilton	16:35	9	3.92	1.1	3.14	2nd
Thunder Legend	Hamilton	17:10	11	1.67	1.01	1.52	1st
Sweet Believer	Hamilton	18:10	12	1.83	1.01	1.68	1st
Country Pyle	Goodwood	18:23	14	2.68	1.13	2.32	3rd
Mahrajaan	Hamilton	18:40	10	2.44	1.01	2.14	1st

As you can see from the table above the 2 most tipped horses Country Pyle (14 tips) and Asjad (13 tips) managed just 3rd and 2nd respectively, but easily managed to impress the traders enough in running to bring the price down to very low odds indeed!
I have produced a spreadsheet to help me determine the odds at which a 15 tick drop lay bet should be placed in relation to the B.S.P. or the actual odds that was available anytime before the off. This is also available for download below

To use this simply enter your stake in the “Stake” box (K1) and the odds you backed the horse at in the “Back Odds” box (F2) I have set the commission rate at 2% as I am on the basic package at Betfair and this is my rate to change this just enter your rate in the commission box (O1)
The lay price will automatically adjust to the price needed and give you the lay stake needed to achieve a level profit if the market hits this price
After the race is run you can then input the actual in-play low price into Cell F3 this will then give you the actual tick drop count in Cell F4 and Cell F5 will turn green if the market dropped 15 ticks or red if it failed to get down to the required odds.
I have also provided todays 10 most tipped horses exported from Inrunning Trading Tool spreadsheet for your perusal you can download this by clicking down load below

To get a free 7 day trial of this website to do your own study on this and many other systems such as Back to Lay, Dobbing, Lay to back amongst others Click the link below

In-Running Trading Tool