“Dobbing” or backing to lay a horse to double your money or bust your bank is a popular technique for making profitable trades out of losing bigger-priced horses. The knack however is picking the right horses in the right races
The “In-Running Trading Tool” has an excellent page that outlines potential horses that could trade at half the B.S.P.
For a trade to successfully “DOB” the In-Play Low must reach half the B.S.P. – or half the price you backed the horse at if you got a bigger price (or lower) before the off for instance:
If you backed a horse on the exchange at odds of 11.00 (10/1) for £10 you would need to place a lay bet order of £20 at odds of 5.5
The In-Running Trading Tool gives some useful advice and provides all the information required to make an informed decision.
Dobbing short-priced horses is possible if the odds are above evens but the price needed to lay a horse that you backed at odds of 2.5 (6/4) would need to trade in-play at a low of 1.25 (4/1 ON!)
Backing higher priced front running horses can be a better option but sorting through the information provided can quickly become confusing and cause mistakes to be made.
To this end I have done a little record keeping and have analysed the top priced top tipped horses which are easily found on the Horseracing.net website on the tips page
On 1st September using the criteria outlined on the In-Running Trading Tool there was just 1 contender
15:50 Uttoxeter; Ship of the Fen
This horse had a B.S.P. of 10 and traded in-play at a low of 4.0 easily passing the 5.0 lay bet order. Thats 1 out of 1
Horseracing.net actuall lists 5 horses in the highest priced tipped horses and the other 4 faired as follows even though they did not meet the In-Running Trading Tool Criteria
15:05 Gowran Park; No Show
B.S.P. 10 In-play Low 3.75 DOB – Yes
15:30 Lingfield Park; Dourado
B.S.P. 26.83 In-play Low 7.0 DOB – Yes
15:30 Lingfield Park; Smart Qibili
B.S.P. 140.0 In-play Low 120 DOB – No
16:20 Uttoxeter; Begoodtoyourslf
B.S.P. 6.73 In-Play low 7.2 DOB – No
If we had Dobbed all of the 5 selections we would have been in profit (3 out of 5)
Just as a footnote to these 5 horses No Show also ran the day after and won carrying a 3lb penalty!!
To get a free 7 day Trial of the In-Running Trading Tool please click the link below
