Fulham host Wolves tonight at 8pm and they need some points!!
Fulham’s recent home form is nothing to write home about Losing the last 3 and only beating bottom side Sheffield Utd by a goal to nil. Wolverhampton have not however faired much better of late winning one drawing 2 and losing 1 in their last 4 away games.
Fulham’s form against teams similarly placed around Wolverhampton’s 14th place in the league have ended in draws or losses in fact they have only won home games this season against the two teams below them.
Championship 2nd placed Watford host Reading who are chasing a play-off place.
Watford at home recently have won to nil in all four of their most recent games. Conversely Reading away games have 1 win, 2 draws and a loss to nil against relegation bound Rotherham. Reading are however not without goal scoring ability and are only 1 goal behind Watfords 57 goals from 40 games
This one could be close and probably back BTTS rather than a match outcome.
In The Scottish Championship, League leaders Hearts are at home to bottom side Alloa Athletic. Even though Hearts are top of the league by some considerable lead of their last 8 home and away games they have only won twice. Alloa have lost 4 of their last 8 games but have managed to score at least once in all but one of those making this game a BTTS bet more attractive than an outcome bet.
Just as a final note If bookmakers had put Fulham playing at home in their enhanced accas’ AND if the other teams in the accas won they would have only had to pay out twice out of 16 times!!! 🤔🤔🤔
Category Archives: Boosted Bet
Ladbrokes Premier League Treble, Southampton, Tottenham & Aston Villa all to win??
With just over an hour to the first of these games kicking off I will try and get as many stats down as possible.
Southampton host Burnley today at 12:00 and Their home record over the last four games doesn’t make for a happy manager! 1 draw and 3 losses. They have gained just 4 points in the last 8 games (both home and away) If the match ends in a draw or away win this would be Southamptons 6th consecutive home game without a win. Defensively they have conceded 51 goals from the 29 games played this season. While Burnley are not exactly on fire as well they have gained 11 points from the last 8 games with 6 of them coming from their last 4 away games beating Everton 1-2 and Palace 0-3.
Game 2 on the roster is Tottenham’s away clash at Newcastle. A win for Tottenham in this game would see them level on points with Chelsea and a possible Champions League place. Newcastle’s last 4 home games have not ended well with only 2 points being gained from draws with Aston Villa and Wolverhampton. A 3-2 victory over Southampton 3 home games ago however, would bolster a decision not to be too hasty in backing this treble. Tottenham gained 15 points from their last 8 games to Newcastles 6. With the exception of Brighton (another resaon?) Tottenham have won all of their away games against teams in the bottom 7 of the league.
Finally I come to Aston Villa at home to relegation threatened Fulham. Fulham are of late, coming to the fore as their last 4 away games have all ended in points with notable victoies against both merseyside teams and both “to nil” to boot! Aston Villa on the other hand seem to be in the doldrums playing at home at the moment with just 1 win (Arsenal 1-0) from the last 4 games at Villa Park.
Of the last 9 games in which these two sides have played each other Villa have won just 2
While the stats for these three games seem a bit sparse it would seem that the two home sides face a bit of an uphill struggle
Good luck in whatever you decide
Bettornot
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The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 3 Bet 1
Bit late in the day today but I have been busy preparing the top of my garden for a new deck and as a consequence haven’t been able to research any football bets today. The start of the new flat racing season began officially this weekend and with pretty unpredictable football games happening this week I have had a look at Wolverhamton this evening and a boosted favourite in the 18:50 has taken my eye.
Lovely Breeze has been tipped by 4 tipsters with the racing post. Last 3 outings have produced 2 placings and a win. Timeforms forcast of a strong pace shouldn’t hamper her much as she likes to be prominent in the running.
This will be my first fiver on this week for my next free bet. the boosted odds at the time of placing were 2.88 so should have a bit to play with though the week.
The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Freebet No 2 Week 2 Summary
A couple of ups and downs this week and a lucky 2nd place saw a slight profit this week in my quest for a £5.00 free bet
Bet 1 was struck on Monday with an over 2.5 goals punt on a game that should have yielded about 4 which left me £5.00 down.
Bet 1 Blog here
Bet 2 on Tuesday was an exact opposite of Under 2.5 goals which had me in palpitations as France scored an own goal but ended well with £5.00 up and even over all.
Bet 2 Blog Here
Bet 3 took a trip to the races and tried to take advantage of the skybet offer of cashback if 2nd or 3rd Goodnight Charlie was pipped at the post into 2nd which after cash back still left me Even over the week.
Bet 3 Blog Here
Bet 4 This week went back to football and the Castellon v Espanyol game and an over 2.5 goals bet which won giving £6.88 Profit and the same over the week
Bet 4 Blog Here
Bet 5 each week will be the Soccer Saturday Price Boost which of course lost leaving me in profit over the week of £1.88 and a £5.00 Free Bet
Bet 5 Blog Here
Follow me on twitter or facebook of just follow my blog each day to find out my fortunes this year.
The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Free bet No 7 Week 2
With only £5.00 left to wager to get my next free bet, SkyBet’s Soccer Saturday Price Boost (As always on a Saturday) jumped to the fore on my computer sceen this morning offering a boosted treble of the top 3 sides in league one to win from 4/1 to 6/1. Any treble of 4/1 or less is worth looking at and as I had just analyzed Ladbrokes Saturday Treble (Read it here) and it contained two of the selections in this treble two-thirds of the research was already done. My apologies to anyone who has already read the Ladbrokes dissection as I am simply copying what I blogged earlier for the Sunderland and Peterborough games.
Sunderland are currently 3rd in the league with 2 games in hand to league leaders Hull and one game in hand to second place Peterborough. Form from the last 8 games suggest that Sunderland are on fire gaining a total of 20 points from these games. Bristol Rovers are hosting this match and Sunderlands form from the last 4 aways put 10 points on the board. Bristol need a win today just to keep from swirling into the relegation zone. This does not look likely as they have lost over half (56%) of their home games, 2 of them to the top two sides in the league by a 2 goal margin in both games. In the 5 times that Sunderland and Bristol have played Sunderland has won 3 of those matches. Their last game ended 1-1 last September.
League leaders Hull are at home to Gillingham who are looking for a playoff spot. Hull needs to win today to fend off both Peterborough and Sunderland’s envious eyes on that automatic promotion spot. Gillingham’s form against the top 5 teams has only ended in victory once and that was against Lincoln who after last night’s performance against Oxford is no surprise. (Read last night’s blog). Hull City’s goal-scoring ability is second to none this season with 62 balls hitting the back of the net from the 37 games played, Gillingham has allowed 49 goals past them in the same number of games. Defensively, at home, Hull has conceded just 9 goals this season whilst scoring 21.
With a game in hand over Hull at the top 3 points separate them so this is an ideal opportunity for Peterborough. Their home form record has seen them accrue 41 points from 17 games Having only lost 2 home games all season once against Hull and once against Blackpool. Peterborough have 58 goals from 36 games while only conceding 37. Accrington on the other hand have scored in 82% of their away games and will prove challenging opponents for Peterborough but the likelihood is, I think, that Peterborough will end the game as victors.
Ladbrokes Saturday League one Treble. Sunderland, M.K.Dons, and Peterborough all to win
#Ladbrokes have boosted this treble from 6.0 to 7.0 (5/1 to 6/1).
Sunderland are currently 3rd in the league with 2 games in thand to league leaders Hull and one game in hand to second place Peterborough. Form from the last 8 games suggest that Sunderland are on fire gaining a total of 20 points from these games. Bristol Rovers are hosting this match and Sunderlands form from the last 4 aways put 10 points on the board. Bristol need a win today just to keep from swirling into the relegation zone. This does not look likely as they have lost over half (56%) of their home games, 2 of them to the top two sides in the league by a 2 goal margin in both games. In the 5 times that Sunderland and Bristol have played Sunderland have won 3 of those matches. Their last game ended 1-1 in last September.
Mid table M.K. Dons are hosting 5th place and out of form Doncaster. This is the bogey-man game and needs a thorough picking over. The Dons do have a terrible record when playing teams from the top half of the league. Of the 10 games that they have been at home to teams higher than them they have lost 4 Drawn 4 and won only 2. Doncasters strength seems to be at home and is where most of their points have come from whereas of the 16 away games they have played have resulted in only gaining 17 points (The Dons away record is better than that (20 points)) having said all of this however Doncaster have scored in 81% of their away games and have won the last two times they have played at Milton Keynes. Head to Head stats show a distinct advantage to a Doncaster win or Draw with the Dons only having won twice in their last 9 meetings. As far as league positions are affected by the result Doncaster winning would push them further into the play-off zone and with Accrington snapping at their heels and that away game yet to be played I would think that there will be some pretty harsh words said in the dressing room before the game. Even though Doncaster are currently formless they do have goalscoring ability and the Dons defensive record is that they have conceded 52 goals in the 37 games played this season 29 of them at home.
Finally in this challenging treble is Peterborough’s game against Accrington. With a game in hand over Hull at the top 3 points separate them so this is an ideal opportunity for Peterborough. Their home form record has seen them accrue 41 points from 17 games Having only lost 2 home games all season once against Hull and once against Blackpool. Peterborough have 58 goals from 36 games while only conceding 37. Accrington on the other hand have scored in 82% of their away games and will prove challenging opponents for Peterborough but the likelihood is, I think, that Peterborough will end the game as victors.
Good luck with whatever you choose to do.
Ladbrokes Friday Night Boosted Treble, Lincoln Sligo Rovers and Espanyol all to win 9.0 from 8.0
At 19:45 tonight Lincoln travel to Oxford for this league one clash. In previous head to heads between these two sides have ended badly for lincoln except for the last game where Lincoln were hosts and won 2-0. Oxford have always won in at home against Lincoln in this league and have even beat them 6-0 when at Lincoln.
Lincoln are currently 4th in league one with a game in hand over league leaders Hull City but the points gap is 7 points They could not even make 2nd even if Peterborough lose against Accrington tomorrow. Lincolns’ recent form is quite bad as they have only got 6 points from 8 games. Having said that however Lincoln have scored in 76% of their away games this season. When Oxford have played teams towards the top of the league at home they have either lost (3) or drawn (4) with the exception of Doncaster in which they won 3-0.
Sligo Rovers are also playing away at Waterford in the second game of the season so the stats are quite thin on the ground. A guide to the result of this game could be the match odds which are heavily in favour of Sligo who are odds on to win but if we look at the previous season these two sides are quite evenly matched with Sligo finishing 4th one place above Waterford. You have to question why Ladbrokes would include this game in the treble as neither of these teams seem to be scoring giants. Perhaps Sligo will win but the price is a bit short to put money on.
Final game tonight is Espanyol who are currently 2nd in the spanish second league playing away at Castellon who are fighting for survival at 18th tottering on the edge of the relegation zone. Of the last 4 away games Espanyol have drawn 3 times and won once with all 4 games having a 100% BTTS rate but when playing away against the teams just above and in the relegation zone they have won. This game would have to be the banker of the 3 which means that it will probably the only one that loses.
An out of form Lincoln and lack of stats for Sligo has to put this into the BettOrNot category. Ladbrokes will probably win this one!
Arsenal, Juventus & Villarreal all to win
Boylesports have put this gem up and it immediatly took my eye because of the obvious no-no (in my opinion) of never take sides in a derby. As I have pointed out in my previous post about Ladbrokes boosted treble which also included the Arsenal Tottenham derby Tottenham have won 8 of these head to heads since Nov 2010 and drawn 7 leaving Arsenal with just 6 wins out of 21 games. Both teams have just won their Thursday Europa League games and todays team selection will be key and informative as to the intentions of the managers. Both of these teams can still reach Champion League places – such a difficult game to call.
Juventus currently 3rd in Serie A are playing away to 17th placed Cagliari and they are quite bluntly on form at the moment having scored no fewer than 19 goals in 8 matches. Cagliari have not managed to hold off any attacks by the top 7 sides when playing at home this season with their best score being 0-1 v Atalanta.
Spain is the venue for the final leg of this treble and more specifically Eibar where they host 7th placed Villarreal. Eibar are fighting for their place next season and dont have a good record when at home to teams higher in the league. On the other hand teams at the lower end of the league seem to be able to hold Villarreal to a draw most notable being a 0-0 draw to bottom club Huesca.
Good luck with whatever you decide as they have priced it about right at 9.0
Ladbrokes Premier League Treble. Brighton Leicester and Tottenham all to win.
After finishing my Timeform1-2-3 series in time for the start of Cheltenham next week (read about it here) I am back to picking the bones out of the bookmakers boosted bets. Todays target is Labrokes again. Ladbrokes are incessantly putting adverts on the radio telling all to gamble responsibly and then go and lure unsuspecting punters into their tentacles with these little gems.
Lets look at the Brighton match first as they have plainly put this in alphabetical order to hide it in plain veiw.
Brighton are away to Southampton today in the 12 o’clock kickoff and the odds suggest an away win could be on here. Southamptons home record of late has not been easy reading, having lost 3 and drawn 1 in the last 4 games. Brighton on the other hand have been victorious while playing away against both Leeds and Liverpool, drawn against Burnley but lost against West Brom. Brighton more than Southampton are needing back end season wins to lift them ever more away from the dredded drop zone. A factor against Brighton might be that Southampton have won their home matches when playing against teams that are lower than them in the league, 2-0 Newcastle, 2-0 West Brom, 3-0 Shefield Utd. In the past 7 encounters in this league Brighton have failed to win with Southampton winning 3 times and draws coming in the other games (All score draws by the way)
Next up is Leicester City who are hosting Sheffield Utd this afternoon. As most of you will be aware the tussle at the top is getting just a little more than exciting. With the top spot albeit lost in the clouds the battle for a champions league place can only really be described as savage. Sheffield Utd, even though all seems lost, managed to deny 3 points to Manchester Utd. Leicester cannot afford to lose with Tottenham Everton and West Ham all lookig at that 4th league spot with envious eyes. Recent form suggests that Leicester should win this quite comfortably but nothing should ever be a given in this game. Offensivley Leicester have scored 48 goals in 28 matches whereas sheffield have only managed 16. Leicesters defensive record is not great allowing 32 goals past them in the same 28 games.
Tottenham are away to Arsenal in this most famous of all North London Derbys. This fact alone would prevent me from including this game in any acca! Both teams have just played in the Europa League last Thursday (Both Winning) so fatigue must play a part. A win for Tottenham today would put them into 5th should West Ham lose to Manchester Utd later this evening but Tottenhams away form recently might suggest a different result having won only the most recent game against Fulham 0-1 losing to West Ham 2-1, Man City 3-0 and Brighton 1-0. Head to Head stats are against Tottenham by 13 – 8 (Arsenal wins 6, Draws 7, to Tottenhams 8 wins)
Ladbrokes have boosted this bet to 11.0 from 9.0 but you can get 11.5 on the Smarkets exchange if you are really intent on putting money on this
Betornot 😉
Footy Accumulators PREMIUM BOOST FOR THE MNF ACTION
Just a little bit of research picks holes in this bet.
To begin with a simple look at the cards part shows that both of these players are no Norman Hunters 🥰
Everton’s Doucoure has had 23 premiership appearances this season and has only had a total of 6 yellow cards. His average fouls per game counts as less than 1 at 0.9 per 90 mins perhaps the guy is going for a sainthood. Southampton’s Bertrand fairs no better in the bad boy league with 5 yellows in 23 games he is perhaps slightly more wicked than Doucoure as his foul rate is an incredible 1.2 average per 90 mins. If this doesn’t convince you nothing will but I will delve into Everton’s Rodrigues ability to shoot straight!
Having only made 18 appearances (2 of these as a sub) he has managed an average of only 1.8 shots at goal per game and less than 1 shot on target (0.9) and over half of these get blocked (0.5).
Southamptons Danny Ings is probably the only part of this bet that will come to fruition with an average of 2.3 shots at goal per game 1.2 of these were on target
Personally I wouldn’t put 5p on this bet let alone £5.00
BettOrNot
Betornot 