Build a Bet – Request your own after you have researched it using your own Stats Spreadsheet.

Requesting your own “build a bet” is not as daunting as first supposed they can only say no or more probably not reply at all but in the cases where they do price your bet they sometimes feature it on the platform.
Firstly you need to be armed with your own figures and an idea of what sort of markets you are going to put in to it. To this end I have the beginnings of a Workbook for the premiership which will list the following probable outcomes based on the seasons figures for each team involved.
Full Time Goals
Half Time Goals
Match Shots
Match Shots on Target
Match Fouls
Match Corners
Booking Points
BTTS

The following is a screen Shot of the stats and actual results from the 2nd game of the season Arsenal v Notts Forest

Arsenal v Notts Forest Sat 12 Aug 2023

The data on the left is collated from all the games Arsenal played at home in the premiership in the season 22/23 and all the games Notts Forest played away in the season
The figures on the right are the actual stats from the game played. As you can see the predictions were right on all counts save total shots and the BTTS predictions.

The following games were played that first league week
Burnley v Manchester City – No Data

Arsenal v Nott’m Forest – As Above

Bournemouth v West Ham

Bournemouth v West Ham Sat 12 Aug 23

Brighton v Luton – No Data

Sheffield Utd v Crystal Palace – No Data

Newcastle v Aston Villa

Newcastle Utd v Aston Villa Sat 12 Aug 23

Brentford V Tottenham

Brentford v Tottenham Sun 13 Aug 23

Chelsea v Liverpool

Chelsea v Liverpool Sun 13 Aug 23

Man Utd v Wolves

Man Utd v Wolves Mon 14 Aug 23

As you can see from the above screenshots there was just one match which was a winner with all selections coming in.

Nott’m Forest v Sheffield Utd – No Data

Fulham v Brentford – 0-3

Fulham v Brentford Sat 19 Aug 23

Liverpool v Bournemouth – 3-1

Liverpool v Bournemouth Sat 19 Aug 23

Wolves v Brighton – 1-4
Note – The actual corners leg won as the prediction was 8+ ie 8 or more but the bet still lost on the BTTS leg
( I will explain the intricates of the bets below as some bookmakers interpret the wording of bets differently to others)

Wolves v Brighton Sat 19 Aug 23

Tottenham v Man Utd – 2-0

Tottenham v Man Utd Sat 19 Aug 23

Man City v Newcastle Utd – 1-0

Man City v Newcastle Utd Sat 19 Aug 23

Aston Villa v Everton – 4-0

Aston Villa v Everton Sun 20 Aug 23

West Ham v Chelsea – 3-1

West Ham v Chelsea Su 20 Aug 23

Crystal Palace v Arsenal – 0-1

Crystal Palace v Arsenal Mon 21 Aug 23

Luton Town v Burnley – No Data
This match was postponed until 3rd Oct 23

Week 2 saw two of our bet builder bets winning but we are regularly being let down by the BTTS selection but I am getting a degree of success with this workbook when I back test
Week 3 saw another two builda bets coming in
Bournemouth v Tottenham and Newcastle v Liverpool with 2 more being let down by the BTTS leg.

What odds can you expect to get with these bets?
That depends on the bookmakers who are willing to price these bets up!
You can request these bets via the twitter (or X as it is now known) by using the individual betting sites hash tag address and I found that if you sent your request to them with all of the bookies hash tags in the message then whether or not they thought they might be in competition with each other the odds tended to come back slightly better.
The following was one such bet I requested for the Leicester City v West Brom game on 20th April

Typical request a bet post

I got a quick response from Coral with favourable odds of 7/1 (8.0) I also got a message from SkyBet saying that I could build this bet on there platform but this was not strictly true as they didn’t offer some of the legs that I requested. But it is always wise to shop around.

This bet lost 🙄 on the corners leg as I requested a price on the Over 10.5 instead of 10+ market If I had worded this as “10+ Corners” it would have won!!! as there was exactly 10 corners in the match


The following hash tag addresses are for the bookmakers listed next to them
SkyBet #requestABet
Paddy Power #WhatOddsPaddy
William Hill #YourOdds
Coral #YourCall
Ladbrokes #GetAPrice
Betway #BetYourWay
Betfair #OddsOnThat
Betfred #PickYourPunt
Betvictor #PriceItUp
BoyleSports #InventABet


Lastly I will provide this work in Progess worksheet for you to backtest the entire season if you wish however the 3 promoted sides last season – Burnley, Luton and Sheffield Utd will have no data for the 22/23 season




Fulham, The Bookies Favourites???

The popularity of boosted trebles is undoubtedly one of the best money spinners for the bookies yet. Enhanced trebles and shots on target are just two “featured” bets offered by bookies which are designed to take your money. The average punter will only see the odds and perhaps 2 “bankers” and think perhaps the third team will win and willingly give the bookies their money
I have just done a blog post on paddy powers friday night special (read it here) which features Fulham
The conclusion to this post was that If the bookies put fulham, at home, in a “featured specially boosted just for the punter enhanced treble” And if the other teams won they would have only had to pay out twice in sixteen times.
If we take the average acca at odds of 6/1 and if the average bet is £10 then you would have staked £160 but won just £120. That is some profit margin for the bookies!!
With just a quick look at the bookmakers sites I found the following had all put Fulham in their “Special” bets tonight.
Paddy Power
Betfair
Boylesports,
Coral
BetVictor.
All I can say is I hope Fulham Win but I doubt it. Another bonza payday for the bookies!!