
Off to a good start 👍
Researching bookies boosted bets. Are they really value or just a way of getting you to part with your money

Off to a good start 👍
This week Ladbrokes “Where the Nation Plays Pays” have created a high odds treble to entice the unsuspecting punted to bet with them.
The following games are in focus
Man City v Norwich City
Leeds Utd v Everton
Crystal Palace v Brentford
Looking at The Man City game first and week 1 didnt go to plan for the premiership champions losing away to Tottenham. Norwich City also lost 3-0 against Liverpool at Carrow Road in their first league match of 2021/2022. When the two sides last met in the Premier League , Manchester City came out on top 5-0 at Etihad Stadium in July 2020. It is hard to oppose Man City in this game especially having a first game defeat against them. They will be out to prove that they are still the league champions, Even more so with a packed stadium watching on.
Leeds Utd host Everton in the second of the three games and this is the game which may well throw the treble into doubt. Leeds are favourites to win this at odds of 2.2 with SkyBet and previous meetings of these two sides have seen Leeds win or draw 4 times out of the last 6. While Everton will be wanting to capture a top 4 lot in the legue Leeds Utd will be desperate to lift themselves from the bottom. The ever loyal Leeds fans may well be a factor as well.
Finally we come to a London derby between Crystal Palace who lost at Anfield last week 3-0 and the “mighty” Brentford who shocked Arsenal and probably the league in general by winning 2-0 in front of Jubilant home crowd. The recent form of Brentford in club friendlies have plainly boosted the players confidence and they will undoubtabley be up for a repeat performance this week.
All things considered and being the ever cautious punter that I am there will be other bets today with better probabilities, it is a Better Not verdict on this one.
Good Luck in whatever you decide and remember to bet responsibly.


After finishing my Timeform1-2-3 series in time for the start of Cheltenham next week (read about it here) I am back to picking the bones out of the bookmakers boosted bets. Todays target is Labrokes again. Ladbrokes are incessantly putting adverts on the radio telling all to gamble responsibly and then go and lure unsuspecting punters into their tentacles with these little gems.
Lets look at the Brighton match first as they have plainly put this in alphabetical order to hide it in plain veiw.
Brighton are away to Southampton today in the 12 o’clock kickoff and the odds suggest an away win could be on here. Southamptons home record of late has not been easy reading, having lost 3 and drawn 1 in the last 4 games. Brighton on the other hand have been victorious while playing away against both Leeds and Liverpool, drawn against Burnley but lost against West Brom. Brighton more than Southampton are needing back end season wins to lift them ever more away from the dredded drop zone. A factor against Brighton might be that Southampton have won their home matches when playing against teams that are lower than them in the league, 2-0 Newcastle, 2-0 West Brom, 3-0 Shefield Utd. In the past 7 encounters in this league Brighton have failed to win with Southampton winning 3 times and draws coming in the other games (All score draws by the way)
Next up is Leicester City who are hosting Sheffield Utd this afternoon. As most of you will be aware the tussle at the top is getting just a little more than exciting. With the top spot albeit lost in the clouds the battle for a champions league place can only really be described as savage. Sheffield Utd, even though all seems lost, managed to deny 3 points to Manchester Utd. Leicester cannot afford to lose with Tottenham Everton and West Ham all lookig at that 4th league spot with envious eyes. Recent form suggests that Leicester should win this quite comfortably but nothing should ever be a given in this game. Offensivley Leicester have scored 48 goals in 28 matches whereas sheffield have only managed 16. Leicesters defensive record is not great allowing 32 goals past them in the same 28 games.
Tottenham are away to Arsenal in this most famous of all North London Derbys. This fact alone would prevent me from including this game in any acca! Both teams have just played in the Europa League last Thursday (Both Winning) so fatigue must play a part. A win for Tottenham today would put them into 5th should West Ham lose to Manchester Utd later this evening but Tottenhams away form recently might suggest a different result having won only the most recent game against Fulham 0-1 losing to West Ham 2-1, Man City 3-0 and Brighton 1-0. Head to Head stats are against Tottenham by 13 – 8 (Arsenal wins 6, Draws 7, to Tottenhams 8 wins)
Ladbrokes have boosted this bet to 11.0 from 9.0 but you can get 11.5 on the Smarkets exchange if you are really intent on putting money on this
Betornot 😉
This one looks interesting from Paddy Power, they have boosted this bet from 4.0 (3/1) to 6.0 (5/1). As is usual with Paddy Power they have not given any pointers as to past performances with all players playing for different teams in two seperate games.
Mo Salah is currently the leading premiership goal scorer and averages 3.7 shots at goal converting that into 1.7 shots on target. Liverpool play Man City at Anfield on Sunday and should prove to be an exciting match as they will both be looking to advance their respective positions in the league. A disappointing performance by Liverpool against Brighton will galvanise the team effort. That said however Salah did have 4 attempts at goal in that match having 2 of them blocked but unfortunately none were on target. His performance against the reverse fixture at Etihad Stadium did see him have 2 attempts at goal with one being on target. This bet has ensured that we cannot wait to see the team sheets so will Salah start this game as Liverpool take on Leicester City next Saturday? I suspect that he will as it is an opportunity not to be missed as Man City play Swansea City in the F.A. Cup in 3 days and as such will Pep Guardiola rest some of his players in preparation.
Mason Mount is Chelsea’s attacking Midfielder with an average shots on target figure of 0.6. Having scored only twice this season in the premiership and having 19 1st team appearances his ability to fulfil his part of the bet seems dubious. Chelsea play Sheffield Utd Away late Sunday night and their last meeting at Stamford Bridge saw Chelsea put 4 goals past the Sheffield keeper but none were scored by Mount but he did manage a shot on target and 2 blocked shots. Chelsea also have an F.A. Cup clash next week against Barnsley. His performance against Tottenham 3 days ago was better than most with 3 shots at goal getting one on target. Going back further to the 2-0 win over Burnley, he still seemed to struggle to get on target after 4 attempts. I think that this choice of player by P.P. is the one that they hope to fail his performances against sides that are defensively weaker than Chelsea can be lack-lustre at best.
Last but by no means least is Raheem Sterling who’s’ average shots on goal are 2.4 with 1.1 shots on target match average. In the match at the Etihad Stadium he didnt score for City as Salah scored for Liverpool but he did manage a shot on target. His ability to score goals is beyond doubt as he has 7 to his credit this premiership season. A bit of a brutal schedule this week for Man City may see some substitutions in the City ranks so again perhaps a clever selection by Paddy Power.
Paddy power have no doubt put this bet up early to entice the Saturday Morning punters to perhaps punt a small stake before any team sheets are posted. Will probably risk a quid to win 5 but no more 🙂
Tonights boosted bet is courtesy of SkyBet and involves the Southampton v Arsenal Game which Kicks off at 20:15.
They have very considerately provided the following information
The odds for this is at the time of writing 7.0 (6/1) so 10 quid will net you £60
The last time these two teams played each other was Saturday 23 Jan 2021 – Today is 26 Jan 2021 The venue is the same
The three players in question had the following shots
Ings – 4 shots only 1 on target (Played 85 mins )
Ward Prowse 3 shots 0 on target (Played 90 mins)
Lacazette 0 shots 0 on target (Played 18 mins!!)
These simple stats read very differently from the information provided.
Further investigation, therefore, is warranted
Starting with Lacazette
v Newcastle (H) 2 shots on target. played 90 minutes.
v Crystal Palace (H) 0 shots on target. played 81 minutes.
v Newcastle (FA CUP (H)) 0 shots on target. played 18 minutes.
v West Brom (A) 4 shots on target. played 90 minutes.
v Brighton (A) 1 shot on target. played 24 Minutes
v Chelsea (H) 2 shots on target (one was a penalty) played 90 Minutes
This paints, perhaps, a truer picture of the fact that when he actually makes the 1st XI there is more likelihood of him taking a couple of shots and getting them on target. If he is not even on the starting sheet then this is a great cause for concern on taking up this bet.
Next up Ings
v Shrewsbury DNP (Did Not Play)
v Leicester DNP
v Liverpool 2 shots on target (one Goal) played 77 minutes
Finally Ward-Prowse
v Shrewsbury 1 shot on target. played 90 minutes
v Leicester 0 shots on target. played 90 minutes
v Liverpool 0 shots on target Played 90 minutes
These facts are enough to convince me not to spend a tenner here 🙂