With a 100% strike rate can this system make it 3 days in a row. Sundays are notoriously frustrating in the tipsters department – perhaps it is the drowning of their sorrows after yet another week of failed NAPs and felled favourites or just ashamed to show their faces but there never seems to be the same amount of tips submitted on Sundays. That being said when they band together in splendid isolation it seems that sometimes they know something. Yesterdays crop of 10 most tipped horses managed a win strike percentage of 60% but more importantly they ALL traded in play 15 ticks below their B.S.P. Admittedly the returns on these trades are minimal and just 1 failed trade would wipe out the days profit, but if we were to lay the trade at the same odds but with just a covering stake if the horse went on to win – which 7 did on Friday and 6 yesterday – the maths changes significantly. For Instance
The first horse in the list yesterday was Barn Owl which went of at a BSP of 3.05 and won
If we had laid to an equal profit at 15 ticks the lay stake would have been £11.30 at odd of 2.72 if we had backed it at £10.00 we would have come away with a £1.07 profit if the horse won or lost.
Alternatively if we had Underlaid with a lay stake of £10.20 if the horse won (which it did) the profit rises to £2.96 but breaks even if the horse loses, winning or losing nothing. Something to think about if this study pans out to be a viable system.
Anyway yesterdays full results are as follows
| Horse | Meeting | Time | Tips | BSP | i-p low | 15 tick odds | Result |
| Barn Owl | Beverley | 14:05 | 8 | 3.05 | 1.01 | 2.72 | 1st |
| Manaccan | Newmarket | 14:10 | 8 | 2.39 | 1.01 | 2.08 | 1st |
| Gladiatorial | Cartmel | 14:50 | 9 | 1.65 | 1.01 | 1.5 | 1st |
| Nagano | Goodwood | 15:00 | 10 | 1.75 | 1.09 | 1.6 | 2nd |
| Aquaman | Newmarket | 15:20 | 9 | 2.63 | 2.3 | 2.32 | 3rd |
| Live Your Dream | Newmarket | 15:55 | 9 | 1.99 | 1.82 | 1.84 | 4th |
| Fireworks | Beverley | 17:00 | 12 | 1.16 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1st |
| Bellstreet Bridie | Redcar | 17:40 | 10 | 2.42 | 1.6 | 2.12 | 2nd |
| Alqamar | Cartmel | 17:50 | 10 | 2.68 | 1.01 | 2.38 | 1st |
| Solid Stone | Windsor | 18:30 | 9 | 3.66 | 1.01 | 2.96 | 1st |
Totays top tipped horses are provided below as a spreadsheet exported from In Running Trading Tool and lists the runners, previous form, previous BSP and in-play lows, running style, and a whole host of other information.
Simply click download to have this information at your fingertips
Also provided to help you determine the 15 tick drop needed I provide my own Tick drop calculator
To use this simply enter your stake in the “Stake” box (K1) and the odds you backed the horse at in the “Back Odds” box (F2) I have set the commission rate at 2% as I am on the basic package at Betfair and this is my rate to change this just enter your rate in the commission box (O1)
The lay price will automatically adjust to the price needed and give you the lay stake needed to achieve a level profit if the market hits this price
After the race is run you can then input the actual in-play low price into Cell F3 this will then give you the actual tick drop count in Cell F4 and Cell F5 will turn green if the market dropped 15 ticks or red if it failed to get down to the required odds.
To get the previous 2 blogs on this study click the link below
Yesterdays Post
It will open in a new window for your convenience.
To get a free 7 day trial of the information that is provided by In Running Trading Tool to do your own study on this and many other systems such as Back to Lay, Dobbing, Lay to back amongst others Click the link below
Betornot 