The penultimate race of this years festival is a brand new affair involving mares. Sponsored by Paddy Power it is of no surprise that Mr Mullins has no fewer than 6 Mares entered. Being a specialist in winning Mares only races the focus has to be on this trainer of indisputable talent. Looking at his entries, two of them have been tipped by R.P. tipsters Elimay and Colreevy and both of these mares have form warrenting their 1st and 2nd favourite status. Elimay last won against the Elliott trained Shattered Love who is also entered and is currently 3rd fav. Colreevy was in action in a grade 1 race at Limericks’ Christmas meeting winning the Matchbook Betting Exchange Faugheen Novice Chase by 1/2 length to another Elliott runner Pencilfulloflead. With no previous race to compare there are no Timeform1-2-3 stats to post. I would imagine that Mullins horses might well feature in their ratings though.
Tag Archives: Paddy Power
£1.00 to £100.00 Third Time Lucky (Bet No. 3)
After a resounding 2nd minute goal by Bale I can move onto bet no 3 and have chosen a Bundesliga 2 game tonight between St Pauli and Hamburger SV.
St Pauli are currently sitting at 12th place out of 18 in the league and have an impressive 8 game form record of 19 points as opposed to Hamburger being 4th in the league and a less impressive form of just 13 points from 8 games
St Pauli’s last 4 home games have been 3 wins and 1 defeat and this against league leaders Bochum where there were a total of 4 goals in the 1st half with St Pauli scoring first in the 4th minute and a game of “Ping Pong” ensued. leaving a half time score line of 2-2. Bochum then administered the Coup de Gras in the 63rd minute.
To probe further back, the first home game of the season began well for 1st half goals with 2 being scored in this game followed by 2 more in the match v Nurnberg. Karlsruher made it 3 on the trot with a single scored in the 4th minute. A disappointing end to November saw Osnabruck score the only goal to win in the 85th minute. Christmas Month started well with a 10 minute score by Erzgebirge and the first goal scored by Dusseldorf in the same minute in the next game. This year there has been only 2 home games where there were no first half goals once v Holstein Kiel and the other against Sandhausen.
On to 4th Placed Hamburger and the 1st half goals statistic is at least 1 first half goal has been scored in 86% of Hamburg’s 2. Bundesliga games this season. That home and away. If I look at just the away games the 1st game of the season against Paderborn saw 5 (FIVE) first half goals. We then have to go to the 12th Dec to see no goals in the 1st half, this was against Darmstadt. Since then only the Dusseldorf game has seen no 1st half goals!
5 out of 6 games this year have seen Hamburger score or concede at least 1 goal in the first 20 minutes when playing away.
£1.00 to £100.00 Third Time Lucky (Bet No. 2)
With adrenaline pumping I have just put £1.42 on there being over 0.5 first half goals in the Tottenham v Burnley game this afternoon. Tottenham’s 11 first half goals count as 65% and 9 of these being scored in the first 30 minutes makes this an attractive proposition, coupled with this, Burnley have managed to keep a clean sheet up to half time only once in their last 5 premiership away games.
£1.00 to £100.00 Third Time Lucky
Having lost my £1.77 to a fit of greed, the Wonder Wheel paid out again this time with 5 free spins and £1.04 in winnings. So I begin again courtesy of Mr Power.
That’s as far as i got yesterday before my laptop battery gave a bit of a squeak threatening all sorts of violence unless plugged in pronto. Being banned from my office for the afternoon as my wife had zoom meetings.
Now its 5 am and I am back in the seat of power
Before going for my afternoon sleep,(As I have mentioned before I am a full time truck driver for a meat packing company. Every nights a day in my life), I stuck £1.04 on the over 0.5 goals in the 1st half Frankfurt Market at odds of 1.36 – Heres why
Bremen Hosted Frankfurt Last night in the Bundesliga. From the last 4 away games frankfurt have produced 6 first half goals as well as conceding 2. Bremen have conceded 3 first half goals in the first half in 2 of the last 4 home games.
A 42nd OG takes this bet forward
A 42 minute Own Goal by Crvena zvezda’s Pankov secured this bet with 3 minutes to spare 🤑 Top Man!!!
I have just done the research on a Paddy Power “Beat the Drop” question which I thought was on the list but turns out I mis-read it ?? Any way the research was Wolves v Leeds Both Teams to Score
Instead of lumping my £1000 pot onto yes I have lumped my £2.62 from the above bet at odds of 1.63. with Paddy Power Click here to go to the bet
Here are the reasons why
Wolves have scored in 3 of their last 4 home games
Leeds have scored in 3 of their last 4 away games
Wolves have only failed to score twice in their last 12 home games (17%)
Leeds have only failed to score once in the 12 away games this season (8%)
Wolves have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their home matches
Leeds have conceded at least one goal in 67% of their away Matches
One blot on this landscape is that Leeds failed to score in the previous meeting of these two teams at Elland Rd.
If you are new to my blog this may seem a bit random so please check out my previous blogs
£1 to £100 using “Time of 1st Goal” market on Betfair.
£1 to £100 using “Time of 1st Goal” market on Betfair.
Bet 4 £1 – £100 Using Betfair’s Time of First Goal Market
£1 – £100 using Time of first goal market on betfair “Obituary”
Beat The Drop My Free Entry No2
After Falling at the second question last time This is the account of my second try at Paddy Powers infuriatingly difficult “Beat The Drop”
Question 1 of 12
Wolfberger v Tottenham
Will both Teams Score?
This is the 1st Leg of the 16th Finals and is being played on neutral ground Puskás Aréna (Budapest) due to europe spitting their dummy out and closing borders to our sportsmen and women. How children behave eh?
Tottenham have played 6 games and have only failed to score once which was in the game v Antwerp, Wolfsberger have also played 6 games (unsurprisingly) and have failed to score twice (in both legs against Dynamo Zagreb)
Even though Wolfsberger is billed at home the stats should be taken into consideration for 2 away teams (in my view), They do seem to score most of their goals in the second half (73% of Wolfsberger AC’s goals have been scored in the second half) and have scored in 88% of their away matches (Austria – Bundesliga). They are currently 6th in the Austria – Bundesliga.
Tottenham have a 50% clean sheet rate from all their europa league games but more importantly have a 0% rate when playing away (ie they concede every time they have played away so far) Tottenham have scored in 73% of their away matches (premiership) They are currently 9th in the Premiership Table.
I have Lumped all £1000 on both teams scoring.
Mohamed Salah, Raheem Sterling & Mason Mount each to have 1 or more shots on target
This one looks interesting from Paddy Power, they have boosted this bet from 4.0 (3/1) to 6.0 (5/1). As is usual with Paddy Power they have not given any pointers as to past performances with all players playing for different teams in two seperate games.
Mo Salah is currently the leading premiership goal scorer and averages 3.7 shots at goal converting that into 1.7 shots on target. Liverpool play Man City at Anfield on Sunday and should prove to be an exciting match as they will both be looking to advance their respective positions in the league. A disappointing performance by Liverpool against Brighton will galvanise the team effort. That said however Salah did have 4 attempts at goal in that match having 2 of them blocked but unfortunately none were on target. His performance against the reverse fixture at Etihad Stadium did see him have 2 attempts at goal with one being on target. This bet has ensured that we cannot wait to see the team sheets so will Salah start this game as Liverpool take on Leicester City next Saturday? I suspect that he will as it is an opportunity not to be missed as Man City play Swansea City in the F.A. Cup in 3 days and as such will Pep Guardiola rest some of his players in preparation.
Mason Mount is Chelsea’s attacking Midfielder with an average shots on target figure of 0.6. Having scored only twice this season in the premiership and having 19 1st team appearances his ability to fulfil his part of the bet seems dubious. Chelsea play Sheffield Utd Away late Sunday night and their last meeting at Stamford Bridge saw Chelsea put 4 goals past the Sheffield keeper but none were scored by Mount but he did manage a shot on target and 2 blocked shots. Chelsea also have an F.A. Cup clash next week against Barnsley. His performance against Tottenham 3 days ago was better than most with 3 shots at goal getting one on target. Going back further to the 2-0 win over Burnley, he still seemed to struggle to get on target after 4 attempts. I think that this choice of player by P.P. is the one that they hope to fail his performances against sides that are defensively weaker than Chelsea can be lack-lustre at best.
Last but by no means least is Raheem Sterling who’s’ average shots on goal are 2.4 with 1.1 shots on target match average. In the match at the Etihad Stadium he didnt score for City as Salah scored for Liverpool but he did manage a shot on target. His ability to score goals is beyond doubt as he has 7 to his credit this premiership season. A bit of a brutal schedule this week for Man City may see some substitutions in the City ranks so again perhaps a clever selection by Paddy Power.
Paddy power have no doubt put this bet up early to entice the Saturday Morning punters to perhaps punt a small stake before any team sheets are posted. Will probably risk a quid to win 5 but no more 🙂
Betornot 