Timeform – Page 3

Bet or Not on the Timeform 5 star rated horses?

Timeform has been around for decades now, founded in 1948 in Halifax it was bought by Betfair in 2006.
A feature of betfair exchange racing markets is that at the bottom of each race there is the “Timeform 1-2-3” which lists the top 3 rated horses according to Timeform in the race and gives them a star rating from 5 stars to 1 star.
Timeform ratings form a universal handicap embracing all horses in training, in which the ratings range on the Flat from 130 and upwards for the very best horses down to around 20 for the poorest horses.
This is a 1 day study into the success or failure of Timeform’s 5 star rated horses as shown by Betfair Exchange
The horses in question are as follows Starting with Ascot
Ascot
Race 1 Highfield Princess
Race 2 Dakota Gold
Race 3 Hukum
Race 4 Great Ambassador
Race 5 River Nymph
Race 6 Boundless Power

Chester
Race 1 Larado
Race 2 Major Jumbo
Race 3 Designer
Race 4 Flying West
Race 6 Gaassee
Race 7 Overhaugh Street
Race 8 Life on the Rocks

Fontwell
Race 1 Nickle Back
Race 2 King Cool
Race 3 Helford River
Race 4 Maasai Warrior
Race 5 West To The Bridge
Race 6 Itacare
Race 7 Reinator

Newmarket (Rowley)
Race 1 Al Nafir
Race 2 State Occasion
Race 3 Fearby
Race 4 Snow Lantern
Race 5 Filistine
Race 6 Sammarr
Race 7 Flame of Freedom

Redcar
Race 1 Reel Rosie
Race 2 Australian Harbour
Race 3 Norman Kindu
Race 4 Vintage Clarets
Race 5 Motakhayyel
Race 6 Give It Some Teddy
Race 7 Savalas

Wolverhampton
Race 1 Hurry Up Hedley
Race 2 Rock Melody
Race 3 Top Table
Race 4 Touchwood
Race 5 Nelson Gay
Race 6 Hooflepuff
Race 7 Tyche
Race 8 Meadram

43 horses all with 5 star ratings from Timeform, how will the bookies ever survive this 😏
I have not only done this for Saturdays racing but I have produced a spreadsheet which includes all of Sunday and Mondays results
The total Profit for all 3 days to a £1.00 level stake on betfair exchange is £79.01 using B.S.P. and £32.20 using I.S.P at the bookies.
I have made the spreadsheet available to download below and pre loaded Tuesdays Timeform 5 star selections

timeform-123-study-1 Download

Using the In-Play Running Tool to help pick your ITV7

As well as backing to lay and DObing information that can be taken from the in-running trading tool there is a whole host of information and form about every runner that day – each day. This post is about selecting the “Winners” for todays ITV7

First race on the card is 13:50 Newmarket

You can see from the screenshot above that there are 7 runners in this race and the forecast favourite is Masekela ridden by Oisin Murphy In the Following Screenshot I have expanded the details of this horse to reveal all of its previous runs (which in this case is just 4)

The information which I deem valuable in this is has the horse had any success over the distance run to day and at the course in question. I know that this information is included at a glance in the racecard provided by the bookies or racing press but this is just a “D” or “CD” entry you then have to go and find the races, going, and jockey on a different page. The In-Running Trading Tool has it all in one place as you can see from the screenshot above
In the expanded section you can see that Murphy has ridden 3 times, the horse has never run over a mile distance, It has won twice over various track conditions and distance. The Newmarket run in July has a note of interest and next stop is the sporting life website to access the race archives and watch the race as I suspect that looking at this Masekela was only beaten by a head and may have won given another furlong. (look at the in play low price I dont think that it was leading but some worried traders might have thought it was close.

Newmarket 3:15 10 July 2021 race results

If you click the link above it will take you to the Sporting Life results page for that race and you will be able to watch the race (You will need a free account but because it is part of the SKYBET group you can log in using your sky bet log in details)
Next stop is http://www.horseracing.net to see how many times the horse has been tipped and/or napped

It has been tipped 6 times and napped once

I have don this for all 7 races and these are my results

Newmarket 13:50 Masekela
Haydock 14:05 Nugget
Newmarket 14:25 Sacred Bridge
Chester 14:35 Mossbawn
Haydock 14:40 Jawwal
Newmarket 15:00 Asymetric
Newmarket 15:40 Uncle Bryn

The ITV 7 is free to enter and you dont need to place a bet but you can win I have also created a league which is free to join and the link is

Hi, I have created an ITV7 private league and would like you to join us! Just enter the code at the link below:
League Name: Bet-or-not
League Code: 3LYCL9
Click here to join my league! https://itv7.itv.com/leagues/join/?code=3LYCL9

To get a free 2 week trial of the In-Running Trading Tool Please click the link below

In-Running Trading Tool

DOB of the Day (Sunday 12 Sept)

Welcome to todays DOB of the Day Post where, unfortunately there is only 1 selection that meets the criteria laid down for this. La Petite Coco is running in the 14:20 at the Curragh this afternoon and whilst it would be the Ideal contender for today It has 2 horses in front of it in the betting who are both front runners and the markets probably wouldnt be able to sustain 3 selections shortening so much.
Timeform pace hints favour Love and Thundering Nights the two horses in question. I am going to give this one a miss today which after my luck yesterday with the Betfair “Outage” the damned thing will probably go on to win 🙄
There are some higher priced horses in other races which I am going to set betangel in practice mode to automate the process

I have created this automation rule to the exact instructions of the betangel maestro, Peter Webb, and I am running BetAngel in practice mode.

To get a free 14 day trial of the Betangel software by clicking the link below

Betangel Software free 14 day trial

The selections I have loaded into betangel are the top DOB possibilities as sorted by the In-Running Trading Tool

If you enlarge the sceenshot above you will see why onlt La Petite Coco was the only one to meet MY criteria, Heavenly Power, Point Lonsdale, and Barrington Court are out side of the odds scope While Fast Response and Turbulance have a “red” short in running total.
This is a “blind” trial as I have simply loaded the selections into betangel with instructions to back the horse 5 seconds before post time at current odds and put a corresponding DOB lay order in the market with instructions to keep when event goes in-play.
I have also instructed BetAngel to record the lowest in-play traded price for the selection.
I have done no other research apart from the initial findings as outlined about La Petite Coco.
To get a Free 7 day trial of In-Running Trading Tool please click the link below

In-Running Trading Tool

Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 5

The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase is a bit of a mouthful but for this year Paddy Power has taken over the sponsorship. The first running of this race in 1951 ended in a dead heat and as far as I can discern is the only dead heat at the festival. Perhaps someone can put this right if not. It would be a great pub quiz question if it is!

2018 (22 Ran)
1 Oldgrangewood
2 The Storyteller
3 Last Goodbye
Winner : The Storyteller 5/1f
Profit/Loss +£3.00

2019 (22 Ran)
1 Spiritofthegames
2 Eamon An Cnoc
3 Didero Vallis
Winner : Siruh Du Lac 9/2
Profit/Loss -£3.00

2020 (23 Ran)
1 Deyrann De Carjac
2 Mister Whitaker
3 Simply The Betts
Winner : Simply The Betts 10/3f
Profit/Loss +£1.33

Small profit over 3 years is still a profit 🤑

Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 4

The Sun Bets Stayers Hurdle changed its name again to The Paddy Power Stayers Hurdle in 2020 is the feature race of day 3. Paul Nicholls is the leading trainer with 4 wins since 1972

2018 (15 Ran)
1 Supasundae
2 Bacardys
3 Yan Worth
Winner : Penhill 12/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00

2019 (18 Ran)
1 Paisley Park
2 West Approach
3 Supasundae
Winner : Paisley Park 11/8
Profit/Loss -£0.62

2020 (15 Ran)
1 Paisley Park
2 Emitom
3 Penhill
Winner : Lisnagar Oscar 50/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00

Not so good on this race with a loss on each race even though a winner in 2019.

Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 3

The Ryanair Chase is anotherrace that was intrduced when the 4th day was introduced into the festival program. Willie Mullins and Paul Nichols are tied as leading trainers with 3 wins each. Willie Mullins has won this race 3 times out of the last 5.

2018 (6 Ran)
1 Un De Sceaux
2 Balko Des Flos
3 Cue Card
Winner : Balko Des Flos 8/1
Profit/Loss +£6.00

2019 (12 Ran)
1 Frodon
2 Footpad
3 Un De Sceaux
Winner : Frodon 9/2
Profit/Loss +£2.50

2020 (8 Ran)
1 St Calvados
2 A Plus Tard
3 Min
Winner : Min 2/1
Profit/Loss +£0.00

Another Timeform 1-2-3 Success with £8.50 profit over 3 years

Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 2

The Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle is run over 3 miles and 12 hurdles It is the culmination of a series of qualifier races where a horse has to finish in the first 6 places. Leading trainer for this race is Jonjo O’neill however Gordon Elliott has won the last 3 years.

2018 (23 Ran)
1 Forza Milan
2 Thomas Campbell
3 Dell’ Orca
Winner : Delta Work 6/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00

2019 (24 Ran)
1 Notwhatiam
2 Thermistocles
3 Sire Du Berlais
Winner : Sire Du Berlais 4/1f
Profit/Loss +£2.00

2020 (24 Ran)
1 Welsh Saint
2 Sire Du Berlais
3 A Great View
Winner : Sire Du Berlais 10/1
Profit/Loss +£8.00

An overall profit over 3 years makes this an interesting prospect.

Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 1

The Golden Miller is open to horses 5 years and older and is run on the new course over 2 1/2 Miles negotiating 17 fences along the way. Leading Trainer is yet again taking 4 wins away since 2012

2018 (9 Ran)
1 Terrefort
2 Shattered Love
3 Invitation Only
Winner : Shattered Love 4/1
Profit/Loss +£2.00

2019 (10 Ran)
1 Lostintranslation
2 Defi Du Seuil
3 Kildisart
Winner : Defi Du Seuil 3/1f
Profit/Loss +£1.00

2020 (12 Ran)
1 Tornado Flyer
2 Itchy Feet
3 Mister Fisher
Winner : Samcro 4/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00

A break even race over 3 years

Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 2 Race 7

The Champion Bumper is a national hunt flat race. With out a doubt Willie Mullins is the undisputed master of this race with 10 wins to his name since 1996.

2018 (23 Ran)
1 Acey Milan
2 Blackbow
3 Felix Desjy
Winner : Relegate 25/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00

2019 (14 Ran)
1 Meticulous
2 Blue Sari
3 Envoi Allen
Winner : Envoi Allen 2/1f
Profit/Loss £0.00

2020 (23 Ran)
1 Queens Brook
2 Appreciate It
3 The Glancing Queen
Winner : Ferny Hollow 11/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00

6 quid down on this race over 3 years

Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 2 Race 6

The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle is another race introduced when the festival was increased to four days from 3 in 2005. No jockey has won this race more than once and Paul Nicholls and Gordon Elliott share the honours so far with 3 wins each.

2018 (22 Ran)
1 Nube Negra
2 Mitchouka
3 Casa Tall
Winner : Veneer of Charm 33/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00

2019 (21 Ran)
1 Lethal Steps
2 Belargus
3 Fine Brunello
Winner : Band of Outlaws 7/2f
Profit/Loss -£3.00

2020 (22 Ran)
1 Tronador
2 Thyme Whit
3 Aramax
Winner : Aramax 15/2
Profit/Loss £5.50

Total loss over 3 years 50p