Going into day 3 I have an overall profit of £9.99 over the first two days of the trial. If you have missed these posts then they can be seen by cliccking the link below
Day 1
Day 2
there are also links at the bottom of the post.
Day 3 saw a total of 156 bets matched at betfair with an average stake value of 57p of which 52 dogs that were favourite 20 seconds from post time on betfair exchange went on to win their race. However this 33.3% of winning bets were not sufficient enough to produce a profit on the day. The figure was a loss of £3.24 – just 2 more winners would have seen a profit on the day.
The best performing track for favourites today was Suffolk Downs with a profit of £4.51 producing 7 winning favourites, 3 of these favourites came from trap 5 – another statistic which could help us in the future if you decide to pit wits in the trap challenge. but this is a subject for subsequent postings on this subject.
So after 3 days of the trial the 3 best performing tracks are
Doncaster (£5.87)
Romford (£5.24)
Clonmel (£4.10)
The 3 worst performing tracks are
Towcester (-£3.46)
Yarmouth (-£4.43)
Sunderland (-£4.52)
The full list is shown below
My total profit over the 3 days has now dwindled to £6.75 from £13.41 on day 1 (I wonder what the P/L would have been on the 1st of march if I had got my ducks in a row sooner. Having said that, making sure the software puts the correct bets in at the correct time is paramount especially if you are going to just leave it running throughout the day!
I am starting to build up some sort of data base now so I will begin to list best performing trap, distance and race class as we go along.
Best performing Trap (No of times trap Won over 3 days – not P/L)
Trap 6 (won 82 times out of 467 races over 3 days)
Best performing distance (No of Times favourite won over distance )
480m (Favourite won 30 times out of 70 races run over 480m over 3 days)
Best Performing Race Class
A7 – Favourite won 17 times out of 30 A7 races run over 3 days producing a profit of £10.52!
There were 7 A7 races run over a distance of 480m of which the favourite won 4 times producing a profit of £2.65 in the first 3 days of the trial.
As you can see the further I get into the trial I can build a picture of which race class and distance would be beneficial to focus on.
Next post Day 4
Betornot 