The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase is a bit of a mouthful but for this year Paddy Power has taken over the sponsorship. The first running of this race in 1951 ended in a dead heat and as far as I can discern is the only dead heat at the festival. Perhaps someone can put this right if not. It would be a great pub quiz question if it is!
2018 (22 Ran)
1 Oldgrangewood
2 The Storyteller
3 Last Goodbye
Winner : The Storyteller 5/1f
Profit/Loss +£3.00
2019 (22 Ran)
1 Spiritofthegames
2 Eamon An Cnoc
3 Didero Vallis
Winner : Siruh Du Lac 9/2
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2020 (23 Ran)
1 Deyrann De Carjac
2 Mister Whitaker
3 Simply The Betts
Winner : Simply The Betts 10/3f
Profit/Loss +£1.33
Small profit over 3 years is still a profit 🤑
Author Archives: shakey775
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 4
The Sun Bets Stayers Hurdle changed its name again to The Paddy Power Stayers Hurdle in 2020 is the feature race of day 3. Paul Nicholls is the leading trainer with 4 wins since 1972
2018 (15 Ran)
1 Supasundae
2 Bacardys
3 Yan Worth
Winner : Penhill 12/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (18 Ran)
1 Paisley Park
2 West Approach
3 Supasundae
Winner : Paisley Park 11/8
Profit/Loss -£0.62
2020 (15 Ran)
1 Paisley Park
2 Emitom
3 Penhill
Winner : Lisnagar Oscar 50/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
Not so good on this race with a loss on each race even though a winner in 2019.
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 3
The Ryanair Chase is anotherrace that was intrduced when the 4th day was introduced into the festival program. Willie Mullins and Paul Nichols are tied as leading trainers with 3 wins each. Willie Mullins has won this race 3 times out of the last 5.
2018 (6 Ran)
1 Un De Sceaux
2 Balko Des Flos
3 Cue Card
Winner : Balko Des Flos 8/1
Profit/Loss +£6.00
2019 (12 Ran)
1 Frodon
2 Footpad
3 Un De Sceaux
Winner : Frodon 9/2
Profit/Loss +£2.50
2020 (8 Ran)
1 St Calvados
2 A Plus Tard
3 Min
Winner : Min 2/1
Profit/Loss +£0.00
Another Timeform 1-2-3 Success with £8.50 profit over 3 years
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 2
The Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle is run over 3 miles and 12 hurdles It is the culmination of a series of qualifier races where a horse has to finish in the first 6 places. Leading trainer for this race is Jonjo O’neill however Gordon Elliott has won the last 3 years.
2018 (23 Ran)
1 Forza Milan
2 Thomas Campbell
3 Dell’ Orca
Winner : Delta Work 6/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (24 Ran)
1 Notwhatiam
2 Thermistocles
3 Sire Du Berlais
Winner : Sire Du Berlais 4/1f
Profit/Loss +£2.00
2020 (24 Ran)
1 Welsh Saint
2 Sire Du Berlais
3 A Great View
Winner : Sire Du Berlais 10/1
Profit/Loss +£8.00
An overall profit over 3 years makes this an interesting prospect.
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 3 Race 1
The Golden Miller is open to horses 5 years and older and is run on the new course over 2 1/2 Miles negotiating 17 fences along the way. Leading Trainer is yet again taking 4 wins away since 2012
2018 (9 Ran)
1 Terrefort
2 Shattered Love
3 Invitation Only
Winner : Shattered Love 4/1
Profit/Loss +£2.00
2019 (10 Ran)
1 Lostintranslation
2 Defi Du Seuil
3 Kildisart
Winner : Defi Du Seuil 3/1f
Profit/Loss +£1.00
2020 (12 Ran)
1 Tornado Flyer
2 Itchy Feet
3 Mister Fisher
Winner : Samcro 4/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
A break even race over 3 years
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 2 Summary
Day 2
2018
Race 1 -£1.27
Race 2 +£0.50
Race 3 -£3.00
Race 4 -£2.00
Race 5 -£3.00
Race 6 -£3.00
Race 7 -£3.00
Days Profit/Loss – £14.77
Total Profit/Loss (2018) -£5.99
2019
Race 1 -£3.00
Race 2 +£2.00
Race 3 -£3.00
Race 4 -£1.64
Race 5 -£1.75
Race 6 -£3.00
Race 7 +£0.00
Days Profit/Loss – £10.39
Total Profit (2019) +£15.61
2020
Race 1 -£1.43
Race 2 -£3.00
Race 3 +£3.00
Race 4 -£3.00
Race 5 +£1.00
Race 6 +£5.50
Race 7 -£3.00
Days Profit/Loss -£0.93
Total Profit (2020) +£4.32
Total Profit over 6 days (Days 1 and 2 over 3 years) +£13.94
This is a loss of £26.09 for Day 2 over 3 years
Timeform 1-2-3 performs at a loss for day 2
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 2 Race 7
The Champion Bumper is a national hunt flat race. With out a doubt Willie Mullins is the undisputed master of this race with 10 wins to his name since 1996.
2018 (23 Ran)
1 Acey Milan
2 Blackbow
3 Felix Desjy
Winner : Relegate 25/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (14 Ran)
1 Meticulous
2 Blue Sari
3 Envoi Allen
Winner : Envoi Allen 2/1f
Profit/Loss £0.00
2020 (23 Ran)
1 Queens Brook
2 Appreciate It
3 The Glancing Queen
Winner : Ferny Hollow 11/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
6 quid down on this race over 3 years
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 2 Race 6
The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle is another race introduced when the festival was increased to four days from 3 in 2005. No jockey has won this race more than once and Paul Nicholls and Gordon Elliott share the honours so far with 3 wins each.
2018 (22 Ran)
1 Nube Negra
2 Mitchouka
3 Casa Tall
Winner : Veneer of Charm 33/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (21 Ran)
1 Lethal Steps
2 Belargus
3 Fine Brunello
Winner : Band of Outlaws 7/2f
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2020 (22 Ran)
1 Tronador
2 Thyme Whit
3 Aramax
Winner : Aramax 15/2
Profit/Loss £5.50
Total loss over 3 years 50p
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 2 Race 5
The Glenfarclas Chase , or “Cross Country Chase” was established when day 4 of the festival was introduced in 2005. Gordon Elliott has won this 2017 to 2019 Twice with Tiger Roll and in 2017 with Cause of Causes.
2018 (16 Ran)
1 Urgent De Gregaine
2 Cause of Causes
3 Bless the Wings
Winner : Tiger Roll 7/1
Profit/Loss -£3.00
2019 (15 Ran)
1 Tiger Roll
2 Auvergnat
3 Urgent De Gregaine
Winner : Tiger Roll 5/4f
Profit/Loss -£1.75
2020 (14 Ran)
1 Tiger Roll
2 Easyland
3 Urgent De Gregaine
Winner : Easyland 3/1
Profit/Loss +£1.00
-£3.75 over 3 years on this race gives a fun value costing £1.25 per year 😁
Cheltenham Timeform 1-2-3 Three year Trends Day 2 Race 4
The Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase have two trainers both on 6 wins a piece since 1992. This race was renamed in 1980 in recognition of the Queen Mothers support of jumps racing.
2018 (9 Ran)
1 Min
2 Altior
3 Gods Own
Winner : Altior Evens f
Profit/Loss -£2.00
2019 (9 Ran)
1 Altior
2 Min
3 Politologue
Winner : Altior 4/11f
Profit/Loss -£1.64
2020 (5 Ran)
1 Defi Du Seuil
2 Chacun Pour Soi
3 Dynamite Dollars
Winner : Politologue
Profit/Loss -£3.00
With 2 short priced winners and a no show makes this particular strategy unprofitable.
Betornot 