Category Archives: SkyBet free bets

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 4 Bet 4

SkyBet Soccer Saturday Price Boost this week features the Liverpool, Bournemouth and Norwich games all starting at 3pm
Liverpool host Aston Villa and is a crucial game for Liverpool for a Champions League place coming off the back of 4 consecutive defeats at home Klopps team will be looking to towards ending this drought. With only teams below them in the league left to play at home, winning today would create an ideal springboard to achieve that aim. Liverpool’s home goals average is 1.47 giving a slight statistical advantage over Aston Villas away goal average of 1.27. The Villa do not have a good away record playing teams higher in the league winning only one against leicester City. Liverpool will want to forget the humiliating defeat in the previous meeting with Villa and set the record straight, 7-2 is a very good incentive. I think that Liverpools ability is coming back to the fore now as have hit form in the Premier League, beating Arsenal 3-0 and Wolves 1-0 in their last 2 matches away.

The next game in the troublesome trio is Bournemouth v Coventry City. My wifes’ family all support Coventry as do some of the guys at work and this analysis may seem a bit disloyal to them but I look at stats and Coventry Citys’ away record is something dreadful only winning 2 of their away games this season and “Losing to Nil” 8 times form the 19 games they travelled. Bournemouth on the other hand have picked up 16 points from their last 8 games and are on a charge for those play-off places that are so tantalisingly close. We are getting towards the end of the season where nearly every kick of the ball counts and Coventry City just don’t play well away from home.

Lastly is the Derby County v Norwich City where Norwich could clinch the title today if they win and and both Brentford and Swansea fail to win. Derby have picked up just 5 points from their last 8 games as opposed to Norwich City gaining 4 times that figure. Offensively Norwich City have scored 64 goas from the 40 games this season , concedeing just 28 whereas Derby have scored just 30 from the same number of games.
Skybet have offered, as always, a cop out for this game, giving alternatives in the guise of Liverpool, Bournemouth to win and Derby to Draw (12/1) and Liverpool, Bournemouth and Derby to win (16/1).


The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 4 Bet 3

The Masters starts today and SkyBet are offering the following promotion
“Place a £5+ bet on the ‘Hotshots’ market at The Masters and get a £1 free bet for every birdie or better your player makes during the first round of the tournament”
By “hotshots” they mean enhanced singles only and each player has been boosted by at least a point.
Professional Golf is something I know absolutely Nothing about. So what if its a sport somebody will have compiled stats.
There are a few stats sites for golf and most of them want paying for their work but The PGA tour site seems to have the basics and is completely and utterly free and completely and utterly confusing !
I will share with you the information Sky Bet gives:

  • Round 1 2020 was a record low score at the Masters
  • D.Johnson: 6 Birdies/Eagles in Round 1 2020
  • J.Thomas: 7 Birdies/Eagles in Round 1 2020
  • B.Dechambeau: 9 Birdies/Eagles in Round 1 2019

Justin Thomas is my pick for this years Masters with SkyBet because his round 1 scoring average (which is what we are looking for) after playing 18 first rounds is 69.44. His 7 Birdies/Eagles last November has conviced me that my fiver is as good on him as anyone.
How can anyone predict who will win a game of golf????


 

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 4 Bet 2

SkyBet are offering the “Game of 2 halves” promotion tonight in the Champions League fixture between Man City and Dortmund tonight. This means that if you place a £5.00 in-play bet in the first half you will be credited with a £5.00 free bet to use in the second half. This free bet however has the same conditions as all their other free bets so can be saved.
This is the first leg of the quarter finals and as such Dortmund being the away side will be all out to score as many away goals as possible tonight to gain that all important away goal advantage. They have scored at least one goal in every one of their Champions League games so far averaging 2.13 per match
The current odds at Skybet for BTTS (Yes) is 2.0 but I need to place this in-play and may have to wait if skybet reduce the odds just before kick off
A concerning stat that may put you off following my lead on this is
Manchester City have Won to Nil in this competition in 75% of their games and in all but one of their home games.
This however is countered by Dortmund having never lost to nil in this competition.
A score draw tonight would give goals advantage in the second leg next week to Dortmund.
Stay close to find out how I do

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 4 Bet 1

Start of the new week brings a new multitude of opportunities to try and end up in profit as well as gaining another £5.00 free bet towards next years Cheltenham festival.
Earlier today I blogged about doing research for Paddy Powers “Beat the Drop” promotion and came across something which had me thinking about my first bet this week.
Middlesbrough are hosting Watford as I write this and the question Paddy Power posed was “will both teams score?”
Research suggested that they probably would but the odds to qualify for a free bet are 2.0 and the odds offered by SkyBet were 1.83
If we look at the soccerstats page for the game on the right hand side near the bottom is a chart names Goal times and below that is another chart of similar composition showing goal times relevent to home and away.
The odds while in play for BTTS behave in a consistent way with the “Yes” odds steadily increasing and “No” odds decreasing.
Using the charts on soccerstats I determined that the probability of a goal being scored before the odds rose to 2.0 were minimal and in fact there was a probability that all would be well until about 25 – 30 mins. It only took about 5 minutes for the odds to get to 2.0 and I snapped my bet on. – My phone has just tinged and lo and behold Watford have just scored in the 32nd Minute. Just hoping that the most likely time for Middlesbrough to score will be in the last 3rd of the second Half but anytime between now and the final whistle will do 😁🤞

 

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Freebet Week 3 summary

The week started badly with a trip to Wolverhampton and Lovely Breeze in the 18:30 which was boosted to 2.88. Managing only 6th place this left me £5.00 down. Not to be deterred I again went racing on Tuesday and split my fiver into an E/W bet on Finisk River in the 14:35 at Newcastle where a 4th place was close but no cigar forthcoming! £10.00 Down.
Staying in the north of England for Wednesdays bet I played what I thought was a in-play blinder backing over 2.5 goals 7 minutes into the Carlisle v Crawley match. With the game 2-0 at half time I began to count my winnings only for all hopes to be dashed as yellow cards came out instead of goals going in!! £15.00 down – this is getting depressing!!!
Bet 4 had to be a wembley affair and after careful planning nearly missed my opportunity as I only just got my Over 2.5 Goals bet on 1 minute before Kane scored from the spot. With 2 more goals being scored earned me a £6.88 profit bringing my total loss upto £8.12.
My last bet of the week plunged me more into despair as Absolutely No Goals were scored in the first half of the Leicester v Man City game making my Over 1.5 goals in the 1st half bet a loser.
Total Loss for the week is £13.12 with my Total loss for weeks 2-3 £11.24
On the Brightside though I will have £30 in free bets for Next years Cheltenham when this weeks bet is credited on Monday.

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 3 bet 5

Finally finished my deck in the garden yesterday but as a consequence of a late finish missed most of yesterdays football, I didnt even see a Soccer Saturday Price Boost perhaps that was on Friday. However SkyBet offered odds of 2.75 for over 1.5 goals in the 1st half in the Leicester v Man City game. After some hasty research concluded that this bet was worth the risk for the following reasons
Manchester City when playing away have scored 53% of their goals in the 1st half and Leicester City have conceded 54% of goals in the 1st half when at home. The Over 1.5 goals market in Leicester City’s home games has been settled 8 times this season before the half time whistle. This from 14 home games played.
A deeper look into half time goals sees that Man City on average score 1.07 goals in the 1st 45 minutes and Leicester 0.8 giving an overall average of 1.87. This, however, is only the half of it and I am perhaps guilty of making the stats fit to my bet because if we look at conceded goals Leicester only concede an average of .67 and Man City 0.20.
There was a bit of a bonus to this though, as SkyBet offered a matched free bet up to £5.00 for this game. I have gained 2 more £5.00 free bets this week bringing my total towards next years Cheltenham up to £30.00 when my weekly free bet gets credited by Monday night.

 

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 3 Bet 3

Bet 3 was a spur of the moment sort of thing while I was running through the in-play games last night ad League two’s match between Carlisle and Crawley
7 minutes in and over 2.5 goals odds were 2.2 so I put my fiver on it
When they scored 10 minutes later and again before half time my hopes were obviously high
Just a shame no one came out to play in the second half 😴😴🤣
I will win one of these !!!!

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 3 Bet 2

Todays bet goes to an E/W hopeful in the shape of Finisk River in the 14:35 at Newcastle over 2 1/2 miles in a Handicap Hurdle. With a 75% place rate and whilst having come last of 5 last time out over 2m on heavy ground, has won twice at Cartmel this season and the Good going at Newcastle should suit.

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 3 Bet 1

Bit late in the day today but I have been busy preparing the top of my garden for a new deck and as a consequence haven’t been able to research any football bets today. The start of the new flat racing season began officially this weekend and with pretty unpredictable football games happening this week I have had a look at Wolverhamton this evening and a boosted favourite in the 18:50 has taken my eye.
Lovely Breeze has been tipped by 4 tipsters with the racing post. Last 3 outings have produced 2 placings and a win. Timeforms forcast of a strong pace shouldn’t hamper her much as she likes to be prominent in the running.
This will be my first fiver on this week for my next free bet. the boosted odds at the time of placing were 2.88 so should have a bit to play with though the week.