I have recently subscribed to the Sun’s Templegate tipline where I get his next day tips before 6pm the previous day to running. This costs just £3.00 per month which is a whole lot cheaper than buying the paper everyday. Using the secure staking plan on TSM (The Staking Machine) and editing the settings to a £10.00 Bank and a Maximum stake percentage of 10%. This staking plan graduates the stakes used in relation to the odds. On Monday 17th March 2025 Templegate tipped 21 horses of which 10 won with an average of winning odds of 2.91 (In Decimal Odds). The highest stake used was £1.00 and the lowest stake was 30p with a total money staked over all racing of £12.90 producing a total profit of £7.70 giving a ROI (Return on Investment) of just under 60% at 59.69% and a strike rate of 47.6%.
The excel file available to download above details the horses and odds with the stakes involved and a total cumulative profit. They are not in any particular time order except for race meetings.
Yesterday I backed 3 ofHugh Taylors four selections at S.P. (one was a non-runner). Here’s what happened (If you have just happened upon this post and are thinking why would I back a horse at SP when the price is steaming in please read the post I did on researching his April Selections the link is immediately below and will open in a new tab)
£3.78 was my profit before these bets went on and with the stakes used they took me into a loss before they ran.
First to run was Phoenix Passion in the 16:27 at Nottingham and It actually won!!
Backed with a stake 0f £3.07 at S.P. for a target profit of £5.00 at equivalent odds of 13/8 the S.P was in fact 11/5 giving an actual profit of £6.75, £1.75 more than if I had just backed it at the available odds at the time.
Second to run was Remaat backed at odds of 3/1 as SkyBet operated a BOG policy with this race.
Remaat came a close second as as you can see from the bet settlement the odds drifted out significantly to 15/2 at post time.
Third and Final runner was Miss Kubelik who in actual fact didnt even place but went off at odds of 5/1 (6.00) this was greater than the advised odds
So after a good win and 2 also rans my profit now stands at £7.36.
Yesterday I backed Hugh Taylors sole selection at S.P. Here’s what happened (If you have just happened upon this post and are thinking why would I back a horse at SP when the price is steaming in please read the post I did on researching his April Selections the link is immediately below and will open in a new tab)
Yesterday I backed Hugh Taylors 3 selections at S.P. Here’s what happened (If you have just happened upon this post and are thinking why would I back a horse at SP when the price is steaming in please read the post I did on researching his April Selections the link is immediately below and will open in a new tab)
First to run was Gutsy Girl which was advised at odds of 4/1 (5.0) I backed it at 11:45 at S.P but the odds available then was 5/2 (3.5) Unfortunately it could only manage 3rd place.
Gutsy Girl (3rd)
Profit is Plummeting and the next to run was Valkyrian in the 8:45 at Windsor Advised at Publication at 16/1 (17.0) Stake was 67p at S.P. as available odds had halved to 15/2 (8.5) S.P. Odds recovered to 12/1 (13.0) which would have been nice if it had won instead of coming 7th
Valkyrian (7th)
With another 67p knocked off the profit the last runner on Hughs list was Coin Power. Advised at odds of 10/1 (11.0) by the time I got my 91p on at 11:45 the odds had dropped to 11/2 (6.5) By Post time the S.P. was 7/1 so again disappointing not to have surpassed advised odds but had it of won instead of coming 8th then I would have a profit of £6.37 instead of my target fiver.
Coin Power (8th)
Numerous people have now pointed out to me that S.P. is a poor bet and I agree but in all of the runners so far this month all have been above the odds available at the time the bet was struck so that with any other bookie than SkyBet Best Odds Guaranteed would have been applicable and instead of backing at S.P. I would have taken the offered odds for my Guaranteed fiver if it won. The sole purpose of this study if you like is to try and make people see that, yes the bookies decimate the odds to capitalize on the faithful which to my mind is despicable, but the odds can and do recover sometimes to a mark greater than the advised price at publication time. Its a good job Hugh had a couple of winners Saturday because my Profit is now down to £5.03
Today I backed Hugh Taylors sole selection at S.P. (If you have just happened upon this post and are thinking why would I back a horse at SP when the price is steaming in please read the post I did on researching his April Selections the link is immediately below and will open in a new tab)
Todays Selection was Cargin Bhui which ran at Hamilton this evening. Advised odds were 11/4 but just 1 hour later those odds had been cut to 2/1 Working to a profit of £5.00 per winner I staked £2.50 to Win at S.P. in the hope that the odds drifted towards post time A very close 2nd place has reduced my June Profit to £8.61
S.P. as you can see was 3/1 Another selection where S.P. was greater than the advised odds 👍
Yesterday I backed all four of Hugh Taylors ATR racing tips but instead of clamoring to get my money on before the odds disappeared I simply backed them at S.P. (If you have just happened upon this post and are thinking why would I back a horse at SP when the price is steaming in please read the post I did on researching his April Selections the link is immediately below and will open in a new tab)
First in the List was Sea of Thieves in the 2:00 at Epsom Downs at an advised price at publication of 14/1. This was published at 9:11 and by 10:30 the odds were 9/1. I backed this at S.P. for 56p which would have given me £5.00 profit if the odds stayed at 9/1 or a bonus amount if the odds drifted and by some miracle the horse won.
As you can see from the settled bet that the price did drift, not to the advised price but close and if it had won would have given a profit of £6.72 instead of the £5.00 at the 9/1 price.
Second to run was Billy Webster in the 3:10 again at Epsom. Published at 9:24 at advised odds of 10/1. I again backed this at S.P. for a stake of 83p as the odds available at 10:30 were down to 6/1
The calculation for these bets is simple Target profit / Decimal odds -1 £5.00 / (7.00 – 1)
By Post Time the odds had drifted to 14/1 which would have given a profit of £11.62 if it had won.
Taylors next selection to run was also at Epsom and he tipped Relentless Voyager in the 5:15 at an advised price of 13/2 (7.5) at the publication time of 9:03. By 10:30 these odds had sunk to 4/1 or 5.0 in decimal. Backed at S.P. for a stake of £1.00 to reap a £5.00 profit if the odds didn’t sink further.
As you can see the odds drifted out to 7/1 (8.0) at post time and the horse won giving a profit of £7.00 instead of the £5.00 target figure.
Taylors fourth and final runner was at Doncaster in the 6:15 and was published on the ATR website at 09:39. Wild Waves price was advised at 9/2 (5.50) at this time and an hour later was a mere 5/2 (3.50) on Sky Bet. Backed at S.P. for a £2.00 stake my target profit if the odds didn’t dip below this price and if the horse won would again be £5.00
As you can see from my settled bet slip This horse also won at 11/4 (3.75) and while the odds didn’t reach those of the advised price by a long chalk they did drift slightly from the 3.50 giving me a profit of £5.50
My Total profit from these four bets ended up at £11.11 from a total of £4.39 staked! Better than being poked in the eye with a sharp stick I think.
I know that if I had used another bookmaker that offered BOG then I would have had guaranteed odds and could have taken the price offered without fear of the odds dipping some more. As it is if I had taken the prices offered by SkyBet at the time of striking the bets then my profit would have been £8.61 – £2.50 less than my actual profit. If you had used the same staking method AND had been able to get the ADVISED prices then the profit would have been as follows
Sea of Thieves Advised odds 15.00 Stake 36p Lost P/L -36p Billy Webster Advised odds 11.00 Stake 50p Lost P/L -50p Relentless Voyager Advised odds 7.5 Stake 77p Won P/L £5.01 Wild Waves Advised odds 5.5 stake £1.11 Won P/L 4.99
In a previous post I quoted that Templegates £1.00 Level stake profit/loss for July was -£5.62 with one Nap left to run. This figure was in fact incorrect, his actual P/L to £1.00 level stakes for July was -£11.10. The figure I quoted was for a 10% staking plan (Staking 10% of a starting bank of £10.00 and adding any profit and loss to the bank and recalculating the stake for the next day). This figure was when all NAPs were run came out as a £5.87 Loss. If you had Layed all of his NAPs at the exchange at BSP (Betfair Starting Price) to the minimum £2.00 stake required by Betfair then your actual profit would have been £19.12 when all commissions had been paid (In my case it is 2% but the normal commission rate is 5% which would have resulted in a profit of £17.68) Again I must correct myself as to an error in the previous post stating that the profit when laying his NAPs was £27.16 with just one to go. This is because I did all of my calculations starting with a bank of £10.00 and forgot to subtract this at the end of the month. apologies for giving you an adrenalin rush in the sheer magnitude of this profit figure 😆 I have posted the excel spreadsheet below for download if anyone is interested in this Please like and subscribe to get more content emailed to you if you think that there may be something in this The next Tipster under the Microscope will be Sporting Life who also has a overall profit in the NAPs table but how well did they do in July alone and would it be worth looking at Laying these NAPs as Well
I am sure that the majority of people reading this post will know what laying a horse – or any sporting event is, but there are still people who, through no fault of their own, have yet to discover the minefields of the exchanges. Without going into too much blurb, a betting exchange is where you can be a bookie or a punter. Being a bookie involves you betting that a horse, greyhound, footballer, politician or just about anything else will not win. This is called “laying” the horse, greyhound, footballer, politician or just about anything else. So far So Good. This must be easy to win with, after all who has ever heard of a poor bookmaker! While I was compiling the daily NAPs stats for another post it suddenly struck me as to the amount of losing streaks these tipsters have and how we as punters, constantly looking for ways of beating the bookie, but why shouldn’t we be the bookie. I have, up to the time of writing this blog, only analyzed the overall leading tipster in the NAPs table, this being Templegate from the Sun newspaper and at £1.00 level stakes for the month of July, and with today’s NAP yet to run he is at a loss of £5.42. If we had laid his selections at BSP (Betfair Starting Price) we would be in profit to a tune of £27.16!! We do have to take into consideration, however, that the minimum bet on Betfair is £2.00 and in my case, a 2% commission is taken from the winnings. Having only 7 winners in July so far and 1 NAP left to run we are guaranteed a profit unless Hurricane Ivor goes off at 15.0 and wins!!! His biggest-priced winner was Guru at Ascot on the 24th at 5.5 and cost us £9.10. His biggest priced selection was Chookie Dunedin on the 5th July which started at a BSP of 11.37 and would have been a £20.74 loss should it have won. If you like this post and think more research would benefit you please subscribe to my Blog and my twitter account to receive more of the same The initial Bet-Or-Not verdict on this one is I will be reserving a £20.00 bank on my Betfair Account to live test this in september when I have looked into which Tipster is most likely to not win 😁
Betornot 