SkyBet have a very tempting offer for the final day ovf the Masters involving Jordan Spieth and current leader Matsuyama. Only one hole matters and it is the first, a par 4, 445 yard test of nerve. As I have mentioned in a previous blog I know nothing about golf apart from it is incredibly difficult to get the ball down such a small hole hundreds of yards from your starting point! The cumulative stats for this hole started with , in round 1 only 1 player birdieing this but 65 players parred it 19 bogeyed and 2 Double Bogeyed. Round 2 saw 6 Birdies 55 Pars 24 Bogeys and another 2 double bogeys. After the cut 4 Birdies and 40 pars were acheived while there were only 9 Bogeys and 1 Double bogey To me these stats suggest that as the players got used to the course they became more relaxed and at ease. The two players involved in this bet have scored a par on each time they have played Here’s hoping they can keep their nerve at least for this hole for this fun little bet.
This treble has been boosted from 5.0 to 7.5! A quick look over the odds available for the individual games sees that Man Utd are 2.5 for the win! The other 2 are odds on. As Man Utd are first on the list I will have a look at them first. If Manchester Utd win they will cut Manchester City’s lead in the premiership down to 11 pts after they lost to Leeds Utd yesterday and united will still have a game in hand. This game is however sharpened at the other end as well as Tottenham at home will be looking to go level on points with Liverpool to try and get a toe in the door of the Champions League places. Manchester Utd’s recent away form is a cause for concern as they have drawn in 3 of their last 4 away games only showing some promise after their 2-0 away win at the Etihad stadium. Tottenham, on the other hand, have won their last 3 home games convincingly albeit against teams lower in the league, only allowing a single goal against Chelsea to spoil a full house! While early goal specialists Tottenham may take the lead Manchester Utd have come from behind too many times to be ignored. This game is a definite “Both Teams To Score” Candidate but recent form casts doubt on an away win as the odds reflect. The second game in this treble is the away fixture for Arsenal at Sheffield Utd. While the odds of 1.6 lean heavily in favour of Arsenal they have recently drawn against Burnley in what should have been 3 points for the North London side. But we are talking about Sheffield here and their recent form is just dreadful. In 15 games Sheffield Utd have Lost to Nil 6 times and conceding in 87% of their home games! Arsenal have failed to score in just 27% of their away games actually scoring 22 times in 15 away matches. There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Arsenals’ last 6 away games before halftime. A fact worth noting. In the final game in this boosted treble Lyon are hosting mid-table Angers and a win would lift them 3rd place if Monaco lose to Dijon (not a likely prospect) Both Lyon and Monaco are in contention for the third round Champions League qualifying round and Lyon have still to play Monaco away and Lille at home so 3 points today will be vital. Angers however are not without strengths and away victories against Lille and Lens show that they still have the ability and have not conceded any goals in their last 3 away games. I wish you luck in whatever you decide
The final bet this week, as far as the weekly free bet club is concerned is the 14:25 at Aintree. As I only hade £4.07 in my account after chasing a £1.00 free bet on the slots (I lost a quid to get a quid) I needed to bring my balance up to £5.00. Adelaide are playing Western Sydney Wanderers and had a player sent off before half time WSW have scored in each of their previous 8 games so went all in on BTTS at 1.30
I have just caught Alex Hammonds tweet on Dreal Deal and while the form figures for both Dreal Deal and My Drogo are the same, Alex has just put doubt into my mind and I have gone for My Drogo in the hope that the Skelton Family can give my betting pot a bit of a boost. This bet gives me the required total for my next free bet Watch out for this weeks Summary on Monday – after Justin Thomas wins the Masters 🤗🤗🤗
Patrick Bamford to have 1 or more shots on target has been boosted from 1.5 to 2.0! Are Paddy Power giving money away or does it go deeper? lets take a look. Patrick Bamfords is Leeds Utd’s first choice striker this season having started in 30 games. He has scored 14 times in his Premier League starts making him Leeds Utds’ top goalscorer. He averages 3.3 shots per game getting an average of 1.4 on target. In his last 3 starts he has been subbed off . After 35 Mins v Chelsea, After 77 mins v Fulham and after 65 mins v Sheffield Utd. His Shots on target stats for the last 5 games are as Follows v Sheffield Utd – 1 v Fulham – 1 v Chelsea – 0 v West Ham – 0 v Aston Villa – 0
With only 2 shots on Target in the last 5 games this could well be a “Bettornot” bet
SkyBet Soccer Saturday Price Boost this week features the Liverpool, Bournemouth and Norwich games all starting at 3pm Liverpool host Aston Villa and is a crucial game for Liverpool for a Champions League place coming off the back of 4 consecutive defeats at home Klopps team will be looking to towards ending this drought. With only teams below them in the league left to play at home, winning today would create an ideal springboard to achieve that aim. Liverpool’s home goals average is 1.47 giving a slight statistical advantage over Aston Villas away goal average of 1.27. The Villa do not have a good away record playing teams higher in the league winning only one against leicester City. Liverpool will want to forget the humiliating defeat in the previous meeting with Villa and set the record straight, 7-2 is a very good incentive. I think that Liverpools ability is coming back to the fore now as have hit form in the Premier League, beating Arsenal 3-0 and Wolves 1-0 in their last 2 matches away.
The next game in the troublesome trio is Bournemouth v Coventry City. My wifes’ family all support Coventry as do some of the guys at work and this analysis may seem a bit disloyal to them but I look at stats and Coventry Citys’ away record is something dreadful only winning 2 of their away games this season and “Losing to Nil” 8 times form the 19 games they travelled. Bournemouth on the other hand have picked up 16 points from their last 8 games and are on a charge for those play-off places that are so tantalisingly close. We are getting towards the end of the season where nearly every kick of the ball counts and Coventry City just don’t play well away from home.
Lastly is the Derby County v Norwich City where Norwich could clinch the title today if they win and and both Brentford and Swansea fail to win. Derby have picked up just 5 points from their last 8 games as opposed to Norwich City gaining 4 times that figure. Offensively Norwich City have scored 64 goas from the 40 games this season , concedeing just 28 whereas Derby have scored just 30 from the same number of games. Skybet have offered, as always, a cop out for this game, giving alternatives in the guise of Liverpool, Bournemouth to win and Derby to Draw (12/1) and Liverpool, Bournemouth and Derby to win (16/1).
The popularity of boosted trebles is undoubtedly one of the best money spinners for the bookies yet. Enhanced trebles and shots on target are just two “featured” bets offered by bookies which are designed to take your money. The average punter will only see the odds and perhaps 2 “bankers” and think perhaps the third team will win and willingly give the bookies their money I have just done a blog post on paddy powers friday night special (read it here) which features Fulham The conclusion to this post was that If the bookies put fulham, at home, in a “featured specially boosted just for the punter enhanced treble” And if the other teams won they would have only had to pay out twice in sixteen times. If we take the average acca at odds of 6/1 and if the average bet is £10 then you would have staked £160 but won just £120. That is some profit margin for the bookies!! With just a quick look at the bookmakers sites I found the following had all put Fulham in their “Special” bets tonight. Paddy Power Betfair Boylesports, Coral BetVictor. All I can say is I hope Fulham Win but I doubt it. Another bonza payday for the bookies!!
Fulham host Wolves tonight at 8pm and they need some points!! Fulham’s recent home form is nothing to write home about Losing the last 3 and only beating bottom side Sheffield Utd by a goal to nil. Wolverhampton have not however faired much better of late winning one drawing 2 and losing 1 in their last 4 away games. Fulham’s form against teams similarly placed around Wolverhampton’s 14th place in the league have ended in draws or losses in fact they have only won home games this season against the two teams below them.
Championship 2nd placed Watford host Reading who are chasing a play-off place. Watford at home recently have won to nil in all four of their most recent games. Conversely Reading away games have 1 win, 2 draws and a loss to nil against relegation bound Rotherham. Reading are however not without goal scoring ability and are only 1 goal behind Watfords 57 goals from 40 games This one could be close and probably back BTTS rather than a match outcome.
In The Scottish Championship, League leaders Hearts are at home to bottom side Alloa Athletic. Even though Hearts are top of the league by some considerable lead of their last 8 home and away games they have only won twice. Alloa have lost 4 of their last 8 games but have managed to score at least once in all but one of those making this game a BTTS bet more attractive than an outcome bet.
Just as a final note If bookmakers had put Fulham playing at home in their enhanced accas’ AND if the other teams in the accas won they would have only had to pay out twice out of 16 times!!! 🤔🤔🤔
With just over an hour to the first of these games kicking off I will try and get as many stats down as possible. Southampton host Burnley today at 12:00 and Their home record over the last four games doesn’t make for a happy manager! 1 draw and 3 losses. They have gained just 4 points in the last 8 games (both home and away) If the match ends in a draw or away win this would be Southamptons 6th consecutive home game without a win. Defensively they have conceded 51 goals from the 29 games played this season. While Burnley are not exactly on fire as well they have gained 11 points from the last 8 games with 6 of them coming from their last 4 away games beating Everton 1-2 and Palace 0-3.
Game 2 on the roster is Tottenham’s away clash at Newcastle. A win for Tottenham in this game would see them level on points with Chelsea and a possible Champions League place. Newcastle’s last 4 home games have not ended well with only 2 points being gained from draws with Aston Villa and Wolverhampton. A 3-2 victory over Southampton 3 home games ago however, would bolster a decision not to be too hasty in backing this treble. Tottenham gained 15 points from their last 8 games to Newcastles 6. With the exception of Brighton (another resaon?) Tottenham have won all of their away games against teams in the bottom 7 of the league.
Finally I come to Aston Villa at home to relegation threatened Fulham. Fulham are of late, coming to the fore as their last 4 away games have all ended in points with notable victoies against both merseyside teams and both “to nil” to boot! Aston Villa on the other hand seem to be in the doldrums playing at home at the moment with just 1 win (Arsenal 1-0) from the last 4 games at Villa Park. Of the last 9 games in which these two sides have played each other Villa have won just 2 While the stats for these three games seem a bit sparse it would seem that the two home sides face a bit of an uphill struggle Good luck in whatever you decide Bettornot
Bit late in the day today but I have been busy preparing the top of my garden for a new deck and as a consequence haven’t been able to research any football bets today. The start of the new flat racing season began officially this weekend and with pretty unpredictable football games happening this week I have had a look at Wolverhamton this evening and a boosted favourite in the 18:50 has taken my eye. Lovely Breeze has been tipped by 4 tipsters with the racing post. Last 3 outings have produced 2 placings and a win. Timeforms forcast of a strong pace shouldn’t hamper her much as she likes to be prominent in the running. This will be my first fiver on this week for my next free bet. the boosted odds at the time of placing were 2.88 so should have a bit to play with though the week.
A couple of ups and downs this week and a lucky 2nd place saw a slight profit this week in my quest for a £5.00 free bet Bet 1 was struck on Monday with an over 2.5 goals punt on a game that should have yielded about 4 which left me £5.00 down. Bet 1 Blog here Bet 2 on Tuesday was an exact opposite of Under 2.5 goals which had me in palpitations as France scored an own goal but ended well with £5.00 up and even over all. Bet 2 Blog Here Bet 3 took a trip to the races and tried to take advantage of the skybet offer of cashback if 2nd or 3rd Goodnight Charlie was pipped at the post into 2nd which after cash back still left me Even over the week. Bet 3 Blog Here Bet 4 This week went back to football and the Castellon v Espanyol game and an over 2.5 goals bet which won giving £6.88 Profit and the same over the week Bet 4 Blog Here Bet 5 each week will be the Soccer Saturday Price Boost which of course lost leaving me in profit over the week of £1.88 and a £5.00 Free Bet Bet 5 Blog Here
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Betornot 