Build a Bet – Request your own after you have researched it using your own Stats Spreadsheet.

Requesting your own “build a bet” is not as daunting as first supposed they can only say no or more probably not reply at all but in the cases where they do price your bet they sometimes feature it on the platform.
Firstly you need to be armed with your own figures and an idea of what sort of markets you are going to put in to it. To this end I have the beginnings of a Workbook for the premiership which will list the following probable outcomes based on the seasons figures for each team involved.
Full Time Goals
Half Time Goals
Match Shots
Match Shots on Target
Match Fouls
Match Corners
Booking Points
BTTS

The following is a screen Shot of the stats and actual results from the 2nd game of the season Arsenal v Notts Forest

Arsenal v Notts Forest Sat 12 Aug 2023

The data on the left is collated from all the games Arsenal played at home in the premiership in the season 22/23 and all the games Notts Forest played away in the season
The figures on the right are the actual stats from the game played. As you can see the predictions were right on all counts save total shots and the BTTS predictions.

The following games were played that first league week
Burnley v Manchester City – No Data

Arsenal v Nott’m Forest – As Above

Bournemouth v West Ham

Bournemouth v West Ham Sat 12 Aug 23

Brighton v Luton – No Data

Sheffield Utd v Crystal Palace – No Data

Newcastle v Aston Villa

Newcastle Utd v Aston Villa Sat 12 Aug 23

Brentford V Tottenham

Brentford v Tottenham Sun 13 Aug 23

Chelsea v Liverpool

Chelsea v Liverpool Sun 13 Aug 23

Man Utd v Wolves

Man Utd v Wolves Mon 14 Aug 23

As you can see from the above screenshots there was just one match which was a winner with all selections coming in.

Nott’m Forest v Sheffield Utd – No Data

Fulham v Brentford – 0-3

Fulham v Brentford Sat 19 Aug 23

Liverpool v Bournemouth – 3-1

Liverpool v Bournemouth Sat 19 Aug 23

Wolves v Brighton – 1-4
Note – The actual corners leg won as the prediction was 8+ ie 8 or more but the bet still lost on the BTTS leg
( I will explain the intricates of the bets below as some bookmakers interpret the wording of bets differently to others)

Wolves v Brighton Sat 19 Aug 23

Tottenham v Man Utd – 2-0

Tottenham v Man Utd Sat 19 Aug 23

Man City v Newcastle Utd – 1-0

Man City v Newcastle Utd Sat 19 Aug 23

Aston Villa v Everton – 4-0

Aston Villa v Everton Sun 20 Aug 23

West Ham v Chelsea – 3-1

West Ham v Chelsea Su 20 Aug 23

Crystal Palace v Arsenal – 0-1

Crystal Palace v Arsenal Mon 21 Aug 23

Luton Town v Burnley – No Data
This match was postponed until 3rd Oct 23

Week 2 saw two of our bet builder bets winning but we are regularly being let down by the BTTS selection but I am getting a degree of success with this workbook when I back test
Week 3 saw another two builda bets coming in
Bournemouth v Tottenham and Newcastle v Liverpool with 2 more being let down by the BTTS leg.

What odds can you expect to get with these bets?
That depends on the bookmakers who are willing to price these bets up!
You can request these bets via the twitter (or X as it is now known) by using the individual betting sites hash tag address and I found that if you sent your request to them with all of the bookies hash tags in the message then whether or not they thought they might be in competition with each other the odds tended to come back slightly better.
The following was one such bet I requested for the Leicester City v West Brom game on 20th April

Typical request a bet post

I got a quick response from Coral with favourable odds of 7/1 (8.0) I also got a message from SkyBet saying that I could build this bet on there platform but this was not strictly true as they didn’t offer some of the legs that I requested. But it is always wise to shop around.

This bet lost πŸ™„ on the corners leg as I requested a price on the Over 10.5 instead of 10+ market If I had worded this as “10+ Corners” it would have won!!! as there was exactly 10 corners in the match


The following hash tag addresses are for the bookmakers listed next to them
SkyBet #requestABet
Paddy Power #WhatOddsPaddy
William Hill #YourOdds
Coral #YourCall
Ladbrokes #GetAPrice
Betway #BetYourWay
Betfair #OddsOnThat
Betfred #PickYourPunt
Betvictor #PriceItUp
BoyleSports #InventABet


Lastly I will provide this work in Progess worksheet for you to backtest the entire season if you wish however the 3 promoted sides last season – Burnley, Luton and Sheffield Utd will have no data for the 22/23 season




OLBG Accas Are they Profitable? Day 1 (01/01/23)

OLBG (Online Bookmaker Guide) produce on a daily basis the accumulated tips from the best performing tipsters on the site and publish them as viable accumulator bets. This post will list and and publish the profits or losses of these bets over the Month

First up is the “Earlybird Multisport Acca” which is available from 7am onwards
Jan 1st 2023

Result
Earlybird Multisport Acca
Lost14:00Tottenham Tottenham v Aston VillaπŸ‘Ž1.67
Won15:50Wrappedupinmay 3:50 ExeterπŸ‘1.33
Lost18:00PHI Eagles -5.50 NO Saints @ PHI EaglesπŸ‘Ž1.91
Won18:00DET Lions CHI Bears @ DET LionsπŸ‘1.42
Lost08:15Sydney Sixers Brisbane Heat vs Sydney SixersπŸ‘Ž1.67
Won09:00Magda Linette to win 2 – 0 Magda Linette vs Zhibek KulambayevaπŸ‘1.20
 Available: 07:00 daily
This ACCA lost

 Advised at 07:00 at odds of 12.02

Next Acca of the day is the Racing Each Way Lucky 15 which is available from 10am each day

ResultEach Way Lucky 15
Lost14:16Recorwoman 2:16 SouthwellπŸ‘Ž12.00
Lost15:00Maid Of Houxty 3:00 CatterickπŸ‘Ž7.00
Lost15:45Thunder 3:45 FairyhouseπŸ‘Ž34.00
Lost17:26Brandy Station 5:26 SouthwellπŸ‘Ž12.00
 Available: 10:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 10:00 at odds of 37128.00

A cheeky little racing Double is the next acca to be published and is supposed to be available to view from 11 am but today (1st Jan 2023) it appeared at 10:30 and was as follows

ResultRacing Double
Lost13:20Thunder Rock 1:20 CheltenhamπŸ‘Ž2.75
Lost15:00Tom Creen 3:00 CatterickπŸ‘Ž2.50
 Available: 11:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 10:30 at odds of 6.86

The racing four fold is usually available at 12:00 so it could be a bit frantic to get the bets on if the first race is close to midday. OLBG comensate for this by publishing the acca early so its best to have notifications set to on and have the app downloaded to your phone. More on this at the end of todays post.

ResultRacing 4-Fold
Won12:10Weveallbeencaught 12:10 CheltenhamπŸ‘2.00
Lost12:55Annie Magic 12:55 ExeterπŸ‘Ž2.20
Lost13:20Thunder Rock 1:20 CheltenhamπŸ‘Ž2.75
Lost15:00Tom Creen 3:00 CatterickπŸ‘Ž2.50
 Available: 12:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 11:00 at odds of 28.89

13:00 brings us the daily Multisport Acca which is similar to the EarlyBird Multi Sport Acca

ResultDaily Multisport Acca
Won15:56Manaafith 3:56 Southwell1.50
Lost18:00WAS Commanders CLE Browns @ WAS Commanders1.75
Lost18:00PHI Eagles -5.50 NO Saints @ PHI Eagles1.95
Won14:00Monaco Monaco v Brest1.45
Lost14:00Tottenham Tottenham v Aston Villa1.67
Lost15:00Tom Creen 3:00 Catterick2.75
 Available: 13:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 13:00 at odds of 37.87

The popular Football four Fold is published at 13:30 at weekends and 17:00 on weekdays – here is todays

ResultFootball 4-Fold
Lost16:00Lyon Lyon v Clermont Foot1.53
Lost16:30Chelsea Nottm Forest v Chelsea1.60
Won15:00Plymouth Plymouth v Milton Keynes Dons1.70
Won15:00Millwall Millwall v Rotherham1.50
 Available: 17:00 weekdays | 13:30 weekend
Lost

 Advised at 13:30 at odds of 6.20

ResultUS Sports Acca
Lost21:05SF 49ers -9.50 SF 49ers @ LV Raiders1.91
Lost18:00WAS Commanders CLE Browns @ WAS Commanders1.80
Lost18:00PHI Eagles -5.50 NO Saints @ PHI Eagles1.95
Won18:00MIA Dolphins +2.50 MIA Dolphins @ NE Patriots2.05
Won18:00DET Lions CHI Bears @ DET Lions1.44
Won18:00NY Giants IND Colts @ NY Giants1.44
 Available: 16:30 daily
Lost

 Advised at 16:30 at odds of 28.50

ResultEvening Multisport Acca
Lost21:05SF 49ers -9.50 SF 49ers @ LV Raiders1.91
Won21:25GB Packers MIN Vikings @ GB Packers1.60
Lost01:10MIL Bucks WAS Wizards @ MIL Bucks1.55
Won01:10MEM Grizzlies SAC Kings @ MEM Grizzlies1.59
Lost19:45Draw or PSG Lens v PSG1.33
Lost19:45Gerwyn Price Gerwyn Price vs Gabriel Clemens1.80
 Available: 18:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 18:00 at odds of 15.67

The outcome for the first day of the study is not a good one! None of the straight Accas came anywhere near and the lucky 15 did not even have a place

If we set our stake at Β£1.00 for accas and 10p e/w lucky 15 then we would be Β£10 down so far

Should Bookmakers “Tipsters” be taken seriously

I have been meaning to write this post for over a week after following Betfairs’ tipsters one evening on the football. Betfair proudly promoted their football tipsters under the banner “Thursday Football Cheat Sheet: All The Best Bets In One Place” Was this the best bets for them or the punters? What happened will shock you.
On the 3rd of November Genk hosted West Ham and Betfair is quoted at saying “West Ham have won all three of their UEL games so far and are a decent bet to maintain that winning streak” Kevin Hatchard then goes on to to say that Genk has only won one of their last 4 home matches, he failed to mention the fact that they (Gent) were victorious over Rapid Vienna away who in turn went on to beat Dinamo Zagreb 2-1. I feel that these two bits of information should have been included in his write-up. He also hinted that a “Win to Nil” for a “Chunky” 3.85 was a sensible play but given the information above would make this financial suicide. Hatchard’s advised bet was “Back West Ham to win” at 2.08. With the information that he gave alone a more sensible bet of over 2.5 goals might have been more prudent. Final score 2-2

Next tipster given lip service by Betfair was Frank Monkhouse who in my opinion was actually trying to talk himself out of his advised bet of “Back Rangers at 1.95” when they travelled to Brondby. I quote
“Rangers look shaky in defence and conceded the first goal at the weekend again” also “At Ibrox, Rangers struggled to beat the 10 men of Hibs, managed only a draw against Hearts after passing up several goalscoring opertunities, then battled back from two goals down to rescue a point against the Dons.” Does this really sound like a man who has confidence in a Rangers team? Perhaps not!!
Final Score 1-1 with Brondby being on the score sheet first (Albeit from an own goal from Rangers ) From his write up Brondby scoring first might have been better advice!!
Dan Finch was tasked with the Tottenham v Vitesse game in the UEFA Europa Conferance League that same evening and proceded to ramble on about the abilities of the new Spurs manager, Conte. An assumption that Conte would “likely switch to playing with 3 central defenders to help shore up a backline that has conceded in 11 of their last 12 games” was his total assertion that his advised bet of Tottenham to Win to Nil would come to fruition. He failed to mention one vital fact that Vitesse have scored in every single UEC game. Final score was 3-2 and a brief mention that over 2.5 goals was priced at 1.71 and a home win and over 2.5 goals increased this price to 1.95. Having spent just 3 minutes looking up Vitesse’s scoring ability I would never have backed a win to nil result at odds of 2.1

Kevin Hatchard was back in the limelight for the Leicester City game against Spartak Moscow and wile I agree with him that there was little value at backing Leicester to win at match odds of 1.33 he went on to say “we can boost that price to a much healthier 2.64if we back Leicester to win and both teams to score. Four of Leicester’s last 5 victories in ALL competitions have seen both teams find the net” What he failed to mention is that in the Europa League Leicester have achieved this just Twice. Having said this however this bet out of all the ones advised so far is the one with most credibility as one of these occasions was in fact the previous meeting of these two teams where Leicester won 3-2 in Moscow.
Final score 1-1
In the final advised bet on the “cheat sheet” Dan Finch yet again rambled on about managers and not the teams ability to score or not as his advised bet of both teams to score in the Roma v Bodo/Glimt game should perhaps have included the fact that the Norwegian side are actually league leaders at home in the Eliteserien to give more weight to the advise given. This bet however was the only one to win at odds of 1.83 as the final score was 2-2

To summarise only 1 out of these 5 advised bets came in I feel that if more information had been forthcoming as to the actual relevancy of the individual advice three of these bets would have been discounted out of hand

Final Score
Betfair 4 Punters 1

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Super 6 Extra Sunday

Here’s my entry for the super 6 extra comp on skybet

ITV7 Wednesday at Kempton

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Paddy Power In-Play Double or Bust Bet 3

Back to Australia this morning and its Newcastle Jets being Hosted by Western Utd
BTTS “Yes” will be the bet and Newcastle have already scored but it was in their own goal after 12 minutes (Bit clumsy that)
So after 56 minutes the odds have reached 1.95 just a couple more minutes ……
After 60 minutes the odds have reached 2.10 so stuck my quid on
Newcastle now have 30 minutes to score at the correct end !!
They have scored in 7 out of their last 8 games and have scored in all of their last 4 away games – confidence is high.