OLBG Accas Are they Profitable? Day 1 (01/01/23)

OLBG (Online Bookmaker Guide) produce on a daily basis the accumulated tips from the best performing tipsters on the site and publish them as viable accumulator bets. This post will list and and publish the profits or losses of these bets over the Month

First up is the “Earlybird Multisport Acca” which is available from 7am onwards
Jan 1st 2023

Result
Earlybird Multisport Acca
Lost14:00Tottenham Tottenham v Aston VillaπŸ‘Ž1.67
Won15:50Wrappedupinmay 3:50 ExeterπŸ‘1.33
Lost18:00PHI Eagles -5.50 NO Saints @ PHI EaglesπŸ‘Ž1.91
Won18:00DET Lions CHI Bears @ DET LionsπŸ‘1.42
Lost08:15Sydney Sixers Brisbane Heat vs Sydney SixersπŸ‘Ž1.67
Won09:00Magda Linette to win 2 – 0 Magda Linette vs Zhibek KulambayevaπŸ‘1.20
 Available: 07:00 daily
This ACCA lost

 Advised at 07:00 at odds of 12.02

Next Acca of the day is the Racing Each Way Lucky 15 which is available from 10am each day

ResultEach Way Lucky 15
Lost14:16Recorwoman 2:16 SouthwellπŸ‘Ž12.00
Lost15:00Maid Of Houxty 3:00 CatterickπŸ‘Ž7.00
Lost15:45Thunder 3:45 FairyhouseπŸ‘Ž34.00
Lost17:26Brandy Station 5:26 SouthwellπŸ‘Ž12.00
 Available: 10:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 10:00 at odds of 37128.00

A cheeky little racing Double is the next acca to be published and is supposed to be available to view from 11 am but today (1st Jan 2023) it appeared at 10:30 and was as follows

ResultRacing Double
Lost13:20Thunder Rock 1:20 CheltenhamπŸ‘Ž2.75
Lost15:00Tom Creen 3:00 CatterickπŸ‘Ž2.50
 Available: 11:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 10:30 at odds of 6.86

The racing four fold is usually available at 12:00 so it could be a bit frantic to get the bets on if the first race is close to midday. OLBG comensate for this by publishing the acca early so its best to have notifications set to on and have the app downloaded to your phone. More on this at the end of todays post.

ResultRacing 4-Fold
Won12:10Weveallbeencaught 12:10 CheltenhamπŸ‘2.00
Lost12:55Annie Magic 12:55 ExeterπŸ‘Ž2.20
Lost13:20Thunder Rock 1:20 CheltenhamπŸ‘Ž2.75
Lost15:00Tom Creen 3:00 CatterickπŸ‘Ž2.50
 Available: 12:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 11:00 at odds of 28.89

13:00 brings us the daily Multisport Acca which is similar to the EarlyBird Multi Sport Acca

ResultDaily Multisport Acca
Won15:56Manaafith 3:56 Southwell1.50
Lost18:00WAS Commanders CLE Browns @ WAS Commanders1.75
Lost18:00PHI Eagles -5.50 NO Saints @ PHI Eagles1.95
Won14:00Monaco Monaco v Brest1.45
Lost14:00Tottenham Tottenham v Aston Villa1.67
Lost15:00Tom Creen 3:00 Catterick2.75
 Available: 13:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 13:00 at odds of 37.87

The popular Football four Fold is published at 13:30 at weekends and 17:00 on weekdays – here is todays

ResultFootball 4-Fold
Lost16:00Lyon Lyon v Clermont Foot1.53
Lost16:30Chelsea Nottm Forest v Chelsea1.60
Won15:00Plymouth Plymouth v Milton Keynes Dons1.70
Won15:00Millwall Millwall v Rotherham1.50
 Available: 17:00 weekdays | 13:30 weekend
Lost

 Advised at 13:30 at odds of 6.20

ResultUS Sports Acca
Lost21:05SF 49ers -9.50 SF 49ers @ LV Raiders1.91
Lost18:00WAS Commanders CLE Browns @ WAS Commanders1.80
Lost18:00PHI Eagles -5.50 NO Saints @ PHI Eagles1.95
Won18:00MIA Dolphins +2.50 MIA Dolphins @ NE Patriots2.05
Won18:00DET Lions CHI Bears @ DET Lions1.44
Won18:00NY Giants IND Colts @ NY Giants1.44
 Available: 16:30 daily
Lost

 Advised at 16:30 at odds of 28.50

ResultEvening Multisport Acca
Lost21:05SF 49ers -9.50 SF 49ers @ LV Raiders1.91
Won21:25GB Packers MIN Vikings @ GB Packers1.60
Lost01:10MIL Bucks WAS Wizards @ MIL Bucks1.55
Won01:10MEM Grizzlies SAC Kings @ MEM Grizzlies1.59
Lost19:45Draw or PSG Lens v PSG1.33
Lost19:45Gerwyn Price Gerwyn Price vs Gabriel Clemens1.80
 Available: 18:00 daily
Lost

 Advised at 18:00 at odds of 15.67

The outcome for the first day of the study is not a good one! None of the straight Accas came anywhere near and the lucky 15 did not even have a place

If we set our stake at Β£1.00 for accas and 10p e/w lucky 15 then we would be Β£10 down so far

Should Bookmakers “Tipsters” be taken seriously

I have been meaning to write this post for over a week after following Betfairs’ tipsters one evening on the football. Betfair proudly promoted their football tipsters under the banner “Thursday Football Cheat Sheet: All The Best Bets In One Place” Was this the best bets for them or the punters? What happened will shock you.
On the 3rd of November Genk hosted West Ham and Betfair is quoted at saying “West Ham have won all three of their UEL games so far and are a decent bet to maintain that winning streak” Kevin Hatchard then goes on to to say that Genk has only won one of their last 4 home matches, he failed to mention the fact that they (Gent) were victorious over Rapid Vienna away who in turn went on to beat Dinamo Zagreb 2-1. I feel that these two bits of information should have been included in his write-up. He also hinted that a “Win to Nil” for a “Chunky” 3.85 was a sensible play but given the information above would make this financial suicide. Hatchard’s advised bet was “Back West Ham to win” at 2.08. With the information that he gave alone a more sensible bet of over 2.5 goals might have been more prudent. Final score 2-2

Next tipster given lip service by Betfair was Frank Monkhouse who in my opinion was actually trying to talk himself out of his advised bet of “Back Rangers at 1.95” when they travelled to Brondby. I quote
“Rangers look shaky in defence and conceded the first goal at the weekend again” also “At Ibrox, Rangers struggled to beat the 10 men of Hibs, managed only a draw against Hearts after passing up several goalscoring opertunities, then battled back from two goals down to rescue a point against the Dons.” Does this really sound like a man who has confidence in a Rangers team? Perhaps not!!
Final Score 1-1 with Brondby being on the score sheet first (Albeit from an own goal from Rangers ) From his write up Brondby scoring first might have been better advice!!
Dan Finch was tasked with the Tottenham v Vitesse game in the UEFA Europa Conferance League that same evening and proceded to ramble on about the abilities of the new Spurs manager, Conte. An assumption that Conte would “likely switch to playing with 3 central defenders to help shore up a backline that has conceded in 11 of their last 12 games” was his total assertion that his advised bet of Tottenham to Win to Nil would come to fruition. He failed to mention one vital fact that Vitesse have scored in every single UEC game. Final score was 3-2 and a brief mention that over 2.5 goals was priced at 1.71 and a home win and over 2.5 goals increased this price to 1.95. Having spent just 3 minutes looking up Vitesse’s scoring ability I would never have backed a win to nil result at odds of 2.1

Kevin Hatchard was back in the limelight for the Leicester City game against Spartak Moscow and wile I agree with him that there was little value at backing Leicester to win at match odds of 1.33 he went on to say “we can boost that price to a much healthier 2.64if we back Leicester to win and both teams to score. Four of Leicester’s last 5 victories in ALL competitions have seen both teams find the net” What he failed to mention is that in the Europa League Leicester have achieved this just Twice. Having said this however this bet out of all the ones advised so far is the one with most credibility as one of these occasions was in fact the previous meeting of these two teams where Leicester won 3-2 in Moscow.
Final score 1-1
In the final advised bet on the “cheat sheet” Dan Finch yet again rambled on about managers and not the teams ability to score or not as his advised bet of both teams to score in the Roma v Bodo/Glimt game should perhaps have included the fact that the Norwegian side are actually league leaders at home in the Eliteserien to give more weight to the advise given. This bet however was the only one to win at odds of 1.83 as the final score was 2-2

To summarise only 1 out of these 5 advised bets came in I feel that if more information had been forthcoming as to the actual relevancy of the individual advice three of these bets would have been discounted out of hand

Final Score
Betfair 4 Punters 1

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Paddy Power In-Play Double or Bust Bet 3

Back to Australia this morning and its Newcastle Jets being Hosted by Western Utd
BTTS “Yes” will be the bet and Newcastle have already scored but it was in their own goal after 12 minutes (Bit clumsy that)
So after 56 minutes the odds have reached 1.95 just a couple more minutes ……
After 60 minutes the odds have reached 2.10 so stuck my quid on
Newcastle now have 30 minutes to score at the correct end !!
They have scored in 7 out of their last 8 games and have scored in all of their last 4 away games – confidence is high.

Paddy Power In-Play Double or Bust

Starting with just 21p in my account after a couple of bad investments I was watching the Wellington Phoenix v Adelaide Utd game and decided that “beat the drop” was weighted in Paddy Powers Favour so I will be doubling or busting. At half time with the score at 0-0 and a lot of “requestabets” featuring BTTS took the plunge and staked my whole Bankroll on BTTS “Yes” at 2.4. 😁