ITV7 Monday

I just picked my seven winners for @itv7. Don’t miss your free chance to win the jackpot #ITV7 https://itv7.itv.com/play

ITV7 Saturday

I just picked my seven winners for @itv7. Don’t miss your free chance to win the jackpot #ITV7 https://itv7.itv.com/play

William Hill Boosted Bet Raheem Sterling To Have Over 2 Shots On Target (90 Mins) – Was 9/2

With 3 goals to his name Raheem Sterling seems to have gone from a press induced no hoper case to a serious contender for the Golden Boot. It is true that his season at Manchester City did not match up to the hype given at the start of the season but he has replied to his critics with a resounding middle finger by becoming England’s top scorer in the European Championships. This bet is all about shots on target and while you might be suckered into the belief that shots on target are a better bet than actual goals you may be surprised at how few shots on target by individual players there are.
To begin with I will look at the Total shots on target recorded by England in the tournament so far

England v Croatia 1-0
There were a total of 8 shots AT goal in this game but only 2 were on target

England v Scotland 0-0
There were a total of 9 shots AT goal in this game but only 1 was on target

Czech Republic v England 0-1
There were a total of 5 shots AT goal in this game but only 3 were on target

England v Germany 2-0
There were a total of 5 shots AT goal in this game and 4 of them were on Target

As you can see England have steadily improved their shooting accuracy but these figures show shots on target for the whole team not one player. Without taking anything away from Sterling as I think he is a star player in this England Squad, if we look at his season stats for Man City last season in the UEFA Champions League he averaged just 1.1 shot on target. If you couple this with the assumption that The Czech Republic will see him as the biggest threat to their goal I cannot see him having many chances and will in inimitable Sterling style wait for his given opportunity and score when they least expect it
In my opinion to expect 3 shots on target from any player in this tournament in a single game is a bit of a stretch and is worth considerably more than a measly 6/1 (7.0)

The Road to Cheltenham 2022 Week 6 Bet 3

This boost has been available for some time but I have been waiting for the team sheet to come out.
Salah has an average of 3.6 shots per game and an average of 1.5 shots on target per game achieving at least 1 shot on target in 12 of his last 13 starts.

Paddy Power Saturday’s Turbo Power Price,

Patrick Bamford to have 1 or more shots on target has been boosted from 1.5 to 2.0! Are Paddy Power giving money away or does it go deeper? lets take a look.
Patrick Bamfords is Leeds Utd’s first choice striker this season having started in 30 games. He has scored 14 times in his Premier League starts making him Leeds Utds’ top goalscorer. He averages 3.3 shots per game getting an average of 1.4 on target.
In his last 3 starts he has been subbed off . After 35 Mins v Chelsea, After 77 mins v Fulham and after 65 mins v Sheffield Utd.
His Shots on target stats for the last 5 games are as Follows
v Sheffield Utd – 1
v Fulham – 1
v Chelsea – 0
v West Ham – 0
v Aston Villa – 0

With only 2 shots on Target in the last 5 games this could well be a “Bettornot” bet


Dominic Calvert-Lewin to have 1+ Shot on target

Today, at lunchtime, Everton take on Newcastle at Goodison Park. SkyBet have boosted the odds of Dominic Calvert-Lewin to have 1 or more shots on target from 1/6 to even money. There are stake limits to this boost but if the research pans out and the man actually starts, then any stake used will add towards the Sky Bet Club weekly free bet.
These two teams last met in the premiership on 1st November 20 at St James’ Park and Newcastle won 2-1
This is irrelevant however as we are looking for D.C-L stats and find that he scored Everton’s only goal in the last minute. D.C-L is the teams highest goal scorer this season and is 2 goals off the top for the golden boot on 11 goals scored.
Past performances starting with the most recent games are as follows
v Leicester City (H) 2 shots at goal 1 on target
v Wolves (A) Did not play due to hamstring injury (12 Jan)
v West Ham (H) 2 shots at goal 1 on target
v Sheffield Utd (A) 1 shot on goal 0 on target
v Arsenal (H) 2 shots at goal 1 on target
v Leicester City (A) 3 shots at goal 2 on target
v Chelsea (H) 1 shot at goal 0 on target
v Burnley (A) 4 shots at goal 3 on target
v Leeds Utd (H) 3 shots at goal 1 on target
v Fulham (A) 3 shots at goal 3 on target
v Man Utd (H) 1 shot at goal 0 on target

Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s stats are quite impressive when matched against the likes of Mo Salah and Kane when I researched their shots on goal stats earlier in the week.
Having started 16 times for Everton this season in Premiership Matches he has played for a total of 1409 minutes scored 11 times and has a match average of 1.6 shots on target (same as Kane)
With it being Saturday I can look into todays match itself with a bit more depth. Newcastle’s defensive stance in recent games looks pretty dismal having only won 2 points from the last 8 games and conceded 34 goals from 20 matches played. It would seem that this might be an ideal opportunity for Calvert-Lewin to climb into that top spot in the race for the golden Boot this season.
I will be waiting to see the team sheet before the match and IF he starts then will likely add a few more quid towards my weekly free bet 🙂

Tammy Abraham to have OVER 2 shots on target

Tonight Chelsea take on Wolves without Lampard at the helm. How will they fair? they are odds on to win with all the bookmakers. William Hill have offered boosted odds of 6.0 (5/1) instead of 5.0 (4/1) that Tammy Abraham will get 3 or more shots on target. At their last meeting at Molineux on 15 Dec 2020 Abraham was on the Bench and played for just 19 minutes not even managing a shot at goal let alone one on target!

Since then he has played in the 1st XI against
West Ham getting 2 shots on target (scoring both times)
Arsenal scoring their only goal with his one shot on target
Leicester not having any shots on target
In the Fulham game he played for 25 minutes coming off the bench to yet again only have 1 shot on target.
He has only, out of 20 games, made 9 1st XI appearances having only a 1.3 shots on target average per match this season.
I would want odds of at least 20/1 before I put money on this bet but as ever will wait until the team is announced.