Author Archives: shakey775

Team Fives Weekly

Each week, as well as the free fives game run by VirginBet they also do something that they call Team Fives Weekly, and basically it is the top 5 strikers of the week and a selection of bets associated with these players in terms of goals scored or shots on target.
This weeks 5 are
Aubameyang
Lukaku
Ronaldo
Vardy
Watkins
The page is difficult to find so I recommend clicking the link above.
The bets on the page are
All 5 to score at odds of 80/1 (81.00)
All 5 to have 1 or more shots on Target 19/10 (2.90)
Over 1.5 GOALS combined 3/10 (1.30)
Over 2.5 GOALS combined 10/11 (1.90)
Over 3.5 GOALS combined 9/4 (3.25)
Over 4.5 SHOTS on Target combined 1/16 (1.06)
Over 5.5 SHOTS on Target combined 2/13 (1.15)
Over 6.5 SHOTS on Target combined 1/3 (1.33)

Jamie Vardy


Romelu Lukaku


Michail Antonio


Richarlison


Ivan Toney

These then are the 5. My initial thoughts are that both Ronaldo and Aubameyang should score at least 1 each and this bares out the low odds offered. The only player not to score this season so far is Watkins and against Everton this might stay. The big London derby between Spurs and Chelsea also casts doubt over Lukaku making the scoresheet. Vardy is Vardy and if he has it in his mind to score he most probably will and against Brighton I wouldnt bet against it happening
I will be putting a small bet onto over 2.5 goals at 1.90 hoping Ronaldo will bag at least 2 leaving the rest to score just 1 between them.
Good Luck in whatever you decide and please gamble responsibly.

DOB of the Day (Sunday 12 Sept)

Welcome to todays DOB of the Day Post where, unfortunately there is only 1 selection that meets the criteria laid down for this. La Petite Coco is running in the 14:20 at the Curragh this afternoon and whilst it would be the Ideal contender for today It has 2 horses in front of it in the betting who are both front runners and the markets probably wouldnt be able to sustain 3 selections shortening so much.
Timeform pace hints favour Love and Thundering Nights the two horses in question. I am going to give this one a miss today which after my luck yesterday with the Betfair “Outage” the damned thing will probably go on to win 🙄
There are some higher priced horses in other races which I am going to set betangel in practice mode to automate the process

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I have created this automation rule to the exact instructions of the betangel maestro, Peter Webb, and I am running BetAngel in practice mode.

To get a free 14 day trial of the Betangel software by clicking the link below

Betangel Software free 14 day trial

The selections I have loaded into betangel are the top DOB possibilities as sorted by the In-Running Trading Tool

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If you enlarge the sceenshot above you will see why onlt La Petite Coco was the only one to meet MY criteria, Heavenly Power, Point Lonsdale, and Barrington Court are out side of the odds scope While Fast Response and Turbulance have a “red” short in running total.
This is a “blind” trial as I have simply loaded the selections into betangel with instructions to back the horse 5 seconds before post time at current odds and put a corresponding DOB lay order in the market with instructions to keep when event goes in-play.
I have also instructed BetAngel to record the lowest in-play traded price for the selection.
I have done no other research apart from the initial findings as outlined about La Petite Coco.
To get a Free 7 day trial of In-Running Trading Tool please click the link below

In-Running Trading Tool

Betfair “Outage”

Yesterday both the betfair sportsbook and exchange had an “Outage”
While this is quite unacceptable from a global platform such as this company, It is unfortunately a fact of life that we trust our bets to such incompetence.
My DOB selection was Mobarhin in the 17:50 at Lingfield and had to watch as my back stake went straight into the pocket of another while my Lay bet order was cancelled.
Betfair have apologised and promptly wished everyone good luck with todays betting
While my loss is minimal and accept that in the long and short of it my horse lost I think that Betfair actually dont care about it as the main of there business are traders who will be mostly unaffected by this as they are in and out of the markets very quickly and I suspect from the lack of noise on the social media from these traders that they probably came out on top.

Todays DOB of the Day Friday 10 Sept

Todays DOB of the Day is Makinitup running at Sandown this afternoon in the 15:35.
Making the criteria easily this 3 yr old filly has raced 3 times winning twice. This is the first Handicap she has raced in but it seems that she is in the very capable hands of Cameron Noble as Timeform have posted this in their “Specific Pace Notes” –
“Hold-up horses normally aren’t favoured at this trip here and the pace forecast suggests MAKINITUP (IRE) should still be better placed than AREEHAA (IRE) to take advantage.”
A slight negative to this is that she is yet to run over good ground competitively and the market should be watched nearer post time to see where the money is going.
I however have thrown caution to the wind and Backed her at odds of 4.3 and placed my lay order into the market at odds of 2.13

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As you can see her forecast odds are 3.25 so I am hoping that the market will come in closer to post time shortening the gap to my lay order. If you look closely at the image above you can see that as the pace note say Areehaa might well run from the front but is perhaps unable to sustain this as her DOB rate is just 50% and in actual fact she has drifted slightly in the market in response to money going onto Pearl bay who has been backed into 6.2 from about 6.8 a few minutes ago.
There is now just 40 minutes to post time and I apologise for the lateness of the post but I had a Puncture last Night putting me about 3 hours behind – Fridays!!!

If you like what you see please like this post and subsribe to my blog to get this sort of thing and more sent to you as I post.
A 7 day free trial of the In-Running Trading Tool is available by clicking the link below but be mindful to use it well as 7 days goes very quick when your selections are winning but you are just watching

The In-Running Trading Tool

VirginBet Fives Full Squad Round 4

 

All 5 members of my elite squad now complete Lets have a look what I have got
Odegaard: With just one goal last season for Arsenal from 9 appearances I wont hold my breath about him scoring against Norwich. Having just come off international duty for Norway and only having played 71 minutes this season for the mighty gunners it may seem a bit of a stretch.
Antonio: This Jamaican striker for West Ham is in a unique position to create a new record in the Premier by scoring and assisting in 4 consecutive games. I have every hope that he might win me a quid or two. His price to score on betfair at the moment is 2.42
Phillips: Another International Duty player last scoring for Leeds Utd in the Football League Cup in August against Crewe. In a game against Liverpool on Sunday will he score? even if he plays perhaps not.
Jansson: A fives team wouldn’t be a fives team without a defender or two and as Brentford are not playing any teams which have any of my potential goalscorers I hope he stops a few goals going in.
Raul: Likes to score for Mexico but has yet to score for wolves and the last time that he did was nearly a year ago.

These are my five hopefuls and won’t be retiring from the proceeds this weekend – if there are any

VirginBet Fives is free to play on the VirginBet site If you havn’t already why not get fridays player at least – They may score – Good Luck to everyone who does have a team this weekend.

Please take time to read my other Posts on Bet-Or-Not especially my new series of posts detailing my 100% strike rate – so far – of using the In-Running Trading Tool to find a DOB of the Day
You can find the details by clicking here

To get a free 7 day trial of the In-Running Trading Tool please click the link below.

In-Running Trading Tool