Author Archives: shakey775
Virginbet fives round 5
First pick is midfielder
DOB of the Day (Sunday 12 Sept)
Welcome to todays DOB of the Day Post where, unfortunately there is only 1 selection that meets the criteria laid down for this. La Petite Coco is running in the 14:20 at the Curragh this afternoon and whilst it would be the Ideal contender for today It has 2 horses in front of it in the betting who are both front runners and the markets probably wouldnt be able to sustain 3 selections shortening so much.
Timeform pace hints favour Love and Thundering Nights the two horses in question. I am going to give this one a miss today which after my luck yesterday with the Betfair “Outage” the damned thing will probably go on to win 🙄
There are some higher priced horses in other races which I am going to set betangel in practice mode to automate the process
I have created this automation rule to the exact instructions of the betangel maestro, Peter Webb, and I am running BetAngel in practice mode.
To get a free 14 day trial of the Betangel software by clicking the link below
Betangel Software free 14 day trial
The selections I have loaded into betangel are the top DOB possibilities as sorted by the In-Running Trading Tool
If you enlarge the sceenshot above you will see why onlt La Petite Coco was the only one to meet MY criteria, Heavenly Power, Point Lonsdale, and Barrington Court are out side of the odds scope While Fast Response and Turbulance have a “red” short in running total.
This is a “blind” trial as I have simply loaded the selections into betangel with instructions to back the horse 5 seconds before post time at current odds and put a corresponding DOB lay order in the market with instructions to keep when event goes in-play.
I have also instructed BetAngel to record the lowest in-play traded price for the selection.
I have done no other research apart from the initial findings as outlined about La Petite Coco.
To get a Free 7 day trial of In-Running Trading Tool please click the link below
Betfair “Outage”
Yesterday both the betfair sportsbook and exchange had an “Outage”
While this is quite unacceptable from a global platform such as this company, It is unfortunately a fact of life that we trust our bets to such incompetence.
My DOB selection was Mobarhin in the 17:50 at Lingfield and had to watch as my back stake went straight into the pocket of another while my Lay bet order was cancelled.
Betfair have apologised and promptly wished everyone good luck with todays betting
While my loss is minimal and accept that in the long and short of it my horse lost I think that Betfair actually dont care about it as the main of there business are traders who will be mostly unaffected by this as they are in and out of the markets very quickly and I suspect from the lack of noise on the social media from these traders that they probably came out on top.
Todays DOB of the Day Friday 10 Sept
Todays DOB of the Day is Makinitup running at Sandown this afternoon in the 15:35.
Making the criteria easily this 3 yr old filly has raced 3 times winning twice. This is the first Handicap she has raced in but it seems that she is in the very capable hands of Cameron Noble as Timeform have posted this in their “Specific Pace Notes” –
“Hold-up horses normally aren’t favoured at this trip here and the pace forecast suggests MAKINITUP (IRE) should still be better placed than AREEHAA (IRE) to take advantage.”
A slight negative to this is that she is yet to run over good ground competitively and the market should be watched nearer post time to see where the money is going.
I however have thrown caution to the wind and Backed her at odds of 4.3 and placed my lay order into the market at odds of 2.13
As you can see her forecast odds are 3.25 so I am hoping that the market will come in closer to post time shortening the gap to my lay order. If you look closely at the image above you can see that as the pace note say Areehaa might well run from the front but is perhaps unable to sustain this as her DOB rate is just 50% and in actual fact she has drifted slightly in the market in response to money going onto Pearl bay who has been backed into 6.2 from about 6.8 a few minutes ago.
There is now just 40 minutes to post time and I apologise for the lateness of the post but I had a Puncture last Night putting me about 3 hours behind – Fridays!!!
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A 7 day free trial of the In-Running Trading Tool is available by clicking the link below but be mindful to use it well as 7 days goes very quick when your selections are winning but you are just watching
VirginBet Fives Full Squad Round 4
All 5 members of my elite squad now complete Lets have a look what I have got
Odegaard: With just one goal last season for Arsenal from 9 appearances I wont hold my breath about him scoring against Norwich. Having just come off international duty for Norway and only having played 71 minutes this season for the mighty gunners it may seem a bit of a stretch.
Antonio: This Jamaican striker for West Ham is in a unique position to create a new record in the Premier by scoring and assisting in 4 consecutive games. I have every hope that he might win me a quid or two. His price to score on betfair at the moment is 2.42
Phillips: Another International Duty player last scoring for Leeds Utd in the Football League Cup in August against Crewe. In a game against Liverpool on Sunday will he score? even if he plays perhaps not.
Jansson: A fives team wouldn’t be a fives team without a defender or two and as Brentford are not playing any teams which have any of my potential goalscorers I hope he stops a few goals going in.
Raul: Likes to score for Mexico but has yet to score for wolves and the last time that he did was nearly a year ago.
These are my five hopefuls and won’t be retiring from the proceeds this weekend – if there are any
VirginBet Fives is free to play on the VirginBet site If you havn’t already why not get fridays player at least – They may score – Good Luck to everyone who does have a team this weekend.
Please take time to read my other Posts on Bet-Or-Not especially my new series of posts detailing my 100% strike rate – so far – of using the In-Running Trading Tool to find a DOB of the Day
You can find the details by clicking here
To get a free 7 day trial of the In-Running Trading Tool please click the link below.
DOB of the Day – Thursday (9 sept)
Yesterday was another successful trade with Anmaat winning makes that £10.00 profit less a bit of commission. Today there were 2 possibles but Kawida in the 14:40 at Doncaster is now a non runner, leaving Free Wind in the race after at 15:15
To remind you of the criteria
- DOB rate of over 85% average for all races
- Short in running figure zero or greater
- A “DOB return” of over £25.00
- Forecast odds between 3.0 and 20
- A “Runstyle” of 1 or 2
Todays selection meets all of these conditions. Early this morning I backed it on the exchange at odds of 3.85 and subsequently put my lay bet order in as soon as the back bet was matched. (I should point out at this stage that there was a significant gap between the back odds and the lay odds (3.4 to back and 3.9 to lay) so I simply asked for a £5.00 back bet at 3.85 this was matched quite quickly so it is well worth NOT taking the back odds as is, and trying for a bit more. By doing this I have gained 9 ticks, not much I know but every little helps.
At some point in the morning Glenartny was withdrawn at odds of about 15.00 so the rule 4 was invoked and now my back odds are 3.6 and Betfair has automatically adjusted my lay bet so no harm done. All that been said there are a couple of points to fortify the decision to Dob this horse.
In its previous race (which is not shown in the In-Running Trading Tool) Free Wind was ridden by Frankie Dettori in Deauville to victory over a mile and a half in August beating the favourite by 1 and a half lengths showing that there is a horse/jockey connection to todays race as Dettori hadn’t ridden Free Wind before.
To get a free 7 day trial of the In-Running Trading Tool please click the link below.
DOB of The Day Wednesday
After yesterday’s success with Past Time, I am £5.00 in profit after backing her at 4.4 and she traded at 1.77, 33 ticks below the required 2.2, we move onto today’s DOB of the Day.
Running at Doncaster in the 16:30, Anmaat has forecast odds of 4.00 and a DOB percentage of 100%. £49.00 reflects the 5/5 times he has run and “DOBBED”
With an average racestyle of 1 he prefers to lead or just tuck in behind the leader and after looking at his previous runs seems to make his move 2f out and giving all in the final furlong. One concern would have been if the going was good to soft as a previous race was lost seemingly due to the ground not being exactly to his liking and tiring him 100 yds from the finish allowing Encourage to win by 3/4 length. that being said an in play low price of 1.33 suggests the work was done inside the 2nd furlong from home.
I actually backed him at 5 o’clock this morning at odds of 5.7 so my exit price is 2.86
This price is still available
There is more information today and I am grateful for the additional resources provided by #caanberry and #timeform which is ever-present on one or more of my computer screens
There is one other possible DOB candidate but it fails on the short in- running condition. This is Al Simmo in the race after Anmaar’s at 5 o’clock full details and a free 7 day trial of the In-Running Trading Tool can be had by clicking the link below
VirginBet Fives Round 4
With a couple of hours to wait until Wednesday pick I thought I might just show off my pick from yesterday
West Hams striker Antonio, Never heard of him before but apparently he has the opportunity for a premiership first – to score AND assist in four consecutive matches in the premier league
Lets hope he gets a hattrick then 😁
Todays DOB of the Day
Having had some success over the past few days with Double or Bust bets I have decided to feature a DOB of the Day
Using the In-Running Trading Tool I have set the criteria at the following parameters and lets see how they do.
The “DOB of the Day” will always be the horse which meets all these conditions
- DOB rate of over 85% average for all races
- Short in running figure zero or greater
- A “DOB return” of over £25.00
- Forecast odds between 3.0 and 20
- A “Runstyle” of 1 or 2
Todays horse that meets all of these conditions is:
17:30 Galway; Past Time
She has a forecast S.P. of 3.25
Short in Running Figure is £9.80
Average Runstyle is 2
DOB return of £29.40
She has “DOBBED” every race run giving a 100% DOB Rate
Other factors in her favour are todays race is over 7f, a distance she has only raced at. Same jockey on board (Leigh Roche). It is the most tipped horse in the race (If thats a factor in her favour 😏)
I backed her at odds of 4.4 at 12:01 for £5.00 and set an Auto Cash out for £5.00 (a simple but effective way of “DOBBING”)
At 12:27 the odds have come in to 3.7
The information used for this bet has come solely from the In-Running Trading Tool
There was just 1 selection yesterday which was O’Faolins Lad which went off at a B.S.P. of 14.5 and won
To get a free 7 day trial of the In-Running Trading Tool pleas click the link below
Betornot 