Researching bookies boosted bets. Are they really value or just a way of getting you to part with your money
Punchestown day 2 and SkyBet are again paying 7 places and have boosted “The Great White” to 2.1 to place
It is currently 2nd Fav at 7.5 to win
Yesterdays similar bet won so why not try it again. To quote Sporting Life ” THE GREAT WHITE was beaten a long way behind Low Lie The Fields here in January but it was a different matter at Limerick last week where he was impressive. He’s up 11lb but still on a lowly mark and a quick double beckons.”
The Punchestown Festival gets underway today and as SkyBet seem to want to give money away on their boosted bets of late I thought it rude not to take them up on one of their boosts in the 15:40 where they are paying out on 7 places instead of 4 if there are 18 or more runners. The boost is Scholastic placing at odds of 2.0 This is entirely an impulse bet and can’t do any worse than that damned Melbourne team not even being able to score in the second half earlier!!!
For those of you who are just joining this series of bets I am placing 5 bets per week of £5.00 with SkyBet at odds of 2.0(evens) or better to earn a £5.00 free bet each week to use in next years Cheltenham festival. I already have £75.00 and this is just the start of week 7.
Bet No 1 this week is an In-Play bet of £5.00 at odds of 2.2 in the Sydney v Melbourne Victory game this morning. Sydney scored first in 6 minutes but there was no other score upto half time. Melbourne have had 2 shots on target so far and time is running out. With luck they will net the ball in the second half. With the exception of the Melbourne City game they have scored in the other 3 of the last 4 away games as they have scored their most away goals in the second half in the last 15 minutes of the game.
SkyBets Soccer Saturday Price Boost is bet 4 this week with Watford Barnsley and Norwich all to win
Watford host Millwall today and have a 100% home “Win to Nil” record from the last 4 games and have accrued 53 pts from their 21 Home games. In contrast Millwall have earned themselves just 31 pts from the same number of away games. When playing Millwall at home Watford have won 4 out of the last 5 games only drawing 0-0 in November 2012.
Barnsley are at home to struggling Rotherham and will be pushing to get a play-off place and a win today will see them level on points with Bournemouth. Having won 5 of their last 8 games this shouldnt be too much trouble for this in-form side. Rotherham’s abysmal form has seen them lose 5 times from their last 8 games pretty much sealing their relegation. Barnsley have won all 3 of these two sides previous meetings in the championship league winning 4-0 in the only home fixture and conceding a total of just 1 goal in all three games.
The only away side in this treble is League winners Norwich City who are being hosted by 8th place Q.P.R. If Norwich win today it would be their 8th consecutive away match without defeat, and having scored in 81% of their 21 away games they have only lost 4 games all season 3 of them being to teams in the top 5 of the league.
This boost has been available for some time but I have been waiting for the team sheet to come out.
Salah has an average of 3.6 shots per game and an average of 1.5 shots on target per game achieving at least 1 shot on target in 12 of his last 13 starts.
The Soccer Saturday Price Boost this week starts at 12:30 due to the Royal Funeral taking place at Windsor this afternoon. This weeks bet is West Ham, Swansea, and Watford all to win.
Starting with the Premiership clash between Newcastle and West Ham United, West Ham are on a bit of a crusade to play in the Champions League next season and another win today will see them take 3rd place in the league above Leicester City. West Ham have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 3 games. Newcastle has trouble winning at home actually achieving this just 4 times this season so far. Significant defeats against other top-of-the-table sides both home and away set a trend that West Ham will want to carry on especially as earlier in the season West Ham did lose to Newcastle 0-2. The odds for West Ham to win today are 2.05 with SkyBet.
The second game on the list is the Swansea City v Wycombe Wanderers and Wycombe are in trouble! Swansea needs to win today to keep Brentford from leap-frogging them into 3rd spot from the top. Swansea’s recent form at home is not good and need a good win to bolster their morale. This will be an ideal psychological game to achieve that just as long as they don’t go into this match thinking that bottom side Wycombe have no teeth. Wycombe’s form away is dismal having won just 3 games all season.
Watford are away to Luton this lunchtime and currently lie 2nd in the Championship with just a 1-1 draw against Middlesbrough, Watford have won 7 of their last 8 games – 5 of them “to nil” Luton have only won 2 of their last 4 home games losing to both Swansea and Barnsley. In the 41 games played by Watford this season they have scored 59 goals. If you couple this with the fact that Luton have conceded a total of 46 goals in their 40 matches it seem that Watford should retain their second place lead of 7 points in the league.
This seems a fair bet and would see SkyBet paying out twice in two weeks! Never a bad thing.
The fourth bet this week was a spur of the moment boosted bet “Harry Kane to have 1+ Shot on target Boosted from 1/6 to even money. – A qualifying bet if ever there was one.
There was another bet on offer with Kane to have a shot on target in both halves which was 4.0 (3/1) which as it turns out would have come in as Kane scored both goals one in each half. But it does just go to show that these shots on target bets are dangerous . There were many offerings last night involving prominent Tottenham players to have shots on target – in the end there were only 3 shots on target from Tottenham and Kane scored from two of them
Still all’s well that ends well and this one won where many have lost. Happy days for me as it has reduced my loss a bit this week
SkyBet have a very tempting offer for the final day ovf the Masters involving Jordan Spieth and current leader Matsuyama.
Only one hole matters and it is the first, a par 4, 445 yard test of nerve.
As I have mentioned in a previous blog I know nothing about golf apart from it is incredibly difficult to get the ball down such a small hole hundreds of yards from your starting point!
The cumulative stats for this hole started with , in round 1 only 1 player birdieing this but 65 players parred it 19 bogeyed and 2 Double Bogeyed. Round 2 saw 6 Birdies 55 Pars 24 Bogeys and another 2 double bogeys. After the cut 4 Birdies and 40 pars were acheived while there were only 9 Bogeys and 1 Double bogey
To me these stats suggest that as the players got used to the course they became more relaxed and at ease. The two players involved in this bet have scored a par on each time they have played
Here’s hoping they can keep their nerve at least for this hole for this fun little bet.
This treble has been boosted from 5.0 to 7.5! A quick look over the odds available for the individual games sees that Man Utd are 2.5 for the win! The other 2 are odds on.
As Man Utd are first on the list I will have a look at them first. If Manchester Utd win they will cut Manchester City’s lead in the premiership down to 11 pts after they lost to Leeds Utd yesterday and united will still have a game in hand. This game is however sharpened at the other end as well as Tottenham at home will be looking to go level on points with Liverpool to try and get a toe in the door of the Champions League places. Manchester Utd’s recent away form is a cause for concern as they have drawn in 3 of their last 4 away games only showing some promise after their 2-0 away win at the Etihad stadium. Tottenham, on the other hand, have won their last 3 home games convincingly albeit against teams lower in the league, only allowing a single goal against Chelsea to spoil a full house! While early goal specialists Tottenham may take the lead Manchester Utd have come from behind too many times to be ignored. This game is a definite “Both Teams To Score” Candidate but recent form casts doubt on an away win as the odds reflect.
The second game in this treble is the away fixture for Arsenal at Sheffield Utd. While the odds of 1.6 lean heavily in favour of Arsenal they have recently drawn against Burnley in what should have been 3 points for the North London side. But we are talking about Sheffield here and their recent form is just dreadful. In 15 games Sheffield Utd have Lost to Nil 6 times and conceding in 87% of their home games! Arsenal have failed to score in just 27% of their away games actually scoring 22 times in 15 away matches. There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Arsenals’ last 6 away games before halftime. A fact worth noting.
In the final game in this boosted treble Lyon are hosting mid-table Angers and a win would lift them 3rd place if Monaco lose to Dijon (not a likely prospect) Both Lyon and Monaco are in contention for the third round Champions League qualifying round and Lyon have still to play Monaco away and Lille at home so 3 points today will be vital. Angers however are not without strengths and away victories against Lille and Lens show that they still have the ability and have not conceded any goals in their last 3 away games.
I wish you luck in whatever you decide
The final bet this week, as far as the weekly free bet club is concerned is the 14:25 at Aintree. As I only hade £4.07 in my account after chasing a £1.00 free bet on the slots (I lost a quid to get a quid) I needed to bring my balance up to £5.00. Adelaide are playing Western Sydney Wanderers and had a player sent off before half time
WSW have scored in each of their previous 8 games so went all in on BTTS at 1.30
I have just caught Alex Hammonds tweet on Dreal Deal and while the form figures for both Dreal Deal and My Drogo are the same, Alex has just put doubt into my mind and I have gone for My Drogo in the hope that the Skelton Family can give my betting pot a bit of a boost.
This bet gives me the required total for my next free bet
Watch out for this weeks Summary on Monday – after Justin Thomas wins the Masters 🤗🤗🤗
Betornot 