Category Archives: Boosted Bet

WTA 250: Shocking Exits of Top Seeds at Eastbourne Open

The Eastbourne Open is held each year at Devonshire Park in the week preceding the Wimbledon Grand Slam Tournament and is part of the WTA 250 tour. Open to 32 players in the singles tournament, I will be looking at the fates this year of the top 8 seeds in my ongoing research into laying seeded players on the WTA tour.
This year the top 8 seeded players were

  1. Kasatkina
  2. Krejcicova
  3. Ostapenko
  4. Kenin
  5. Linette
  6. Stearns
  7. Raducanu
  8. Sramkova


The 1st round saw 3 of the top 8 seeds lose or retire through injury and these were Kasatkina, the No 1 seed who lost her match 2-1 to Sun 7-5/2-6/6-3 and was odds on at 1.39 to win. Next on the chop list was Kenin, the No 4 seed who lost to Birrell in straight sets 6-4/6-4, her odds to win the match were 1.52 The final casualty of the seeded players in the 1st round was Linette who after losing the 1st set 6-4 was also losing the second set 4-2 when she sustained a knee injury forcing her to concede the match and punters cash at odds of 2.28.

So a quick summary of round 1 would, if we had laid each of the top 8 seeded players for a liability of £1.00, our maximum possible loss would have been £8.00 if all seeded players won.
As mentioned above, there were 3 of the top 8 seeded players who were knocked out in the 1st round
The table below shows, working from a bank of £10.00, a slight (15p) profit if we had laid the players at the exchange for a £1.00 liability.

Going into the 2nd round with our bank in profit the remaining top 8 seeded players just tumbled from the tournament as the following table shows with the only survivor being Krejcikova and a second round profit for us of £6.67

The last of the top 8 seeded players, Krejcikova, sustained an injury before the Quarter finals and withdrew from the tournament Leaving us with a Tournament profit of £6.82.

In Summary

Just as many tournaments before, the Eastbourne Open is not immune to seeded players falling at the 1st or 2nd hurdles. We can take advantage of this by either Backing the underdog at a sportsbook or laying the seeded player at an exchange such as Smarkets, Betdaq or Betfair. Please subscibe to my blog to get regular updates on my research into the WTA tour and the fate of the favorites.

If you liked this content please “like” so I can get some feel for the effort I am putting into this being beneficial to others who are looking to make a couple of quid but no fortunes.

Disclaimer.

Please gamble responsibly and dont bet more than you can afford. The content of this post is historical fact and in no way guarantees the out come of future tournaments.

Templegates Tips 17th March 2025

I have recently subscribed to the Sun’s Templegate tipline where I get his next day tips before 6pm the previous day to running. This costs just £3.00 per month which is a whole lot cheaper than buying the paper everyday. Using the secure staking plan on TSM (The Staking Machine) and editing the settings to a £10.00 Bank and a Maximum stake percentage of 10%. This staking plan graduates the stakes used in relation to the odds.
On Monday 17th March 2025 Templegate tipped 21 horses of which 10 won with an average of winning odds of 2.91 (In Decimal Odds). The highest stake used was £1.00 and the lowest stake was 30p with a total money staked over all racing of £12.90 producing a total profit of £7.70 giving a ROI (Return on Investment) of just under 60% at 59.69% and a strike rate of 47.6%.

Templegate 17th March 2025Download

The excel file available to download above details the horses and odds with the stakes involved and a total cumulative profit. They are not in any particular time order except for race meetings.

Betting Insights: Analyzing Provisional Odds for Winners

Yesterday I showed you how to create a basic query in TSMs’ Selection Hunter to find some likely winners using the back test mode to discover any trends and it came up with the following 3 horses
The selections are
13:50 Stage Star
14:25 Copperhead
15:00 Sunray Shadow.

If you missed it you can read the post here




13:50 Stage Star
Stage Star met the provisional odds criteria of between 2.00 and 2.99 but went off at a BSP of 3.21. Our conditions of placing a bet with betangel were that the BSP had to be between 2.00 and 2.99 for the software to trigger. 3.21 was out of our range at 3.21 so no bet was made.

Stage Star only managed 4th out of 5

14:25 Copperhead
Joe Tizzards’ Copperhead also qualified as the provisional odds were posted as 2.85 but again the BSP was outside of the criteria and went off at 3.5 giving us another miss fire from Betangel.
Copperhead Won by 14 lengths!!!

15:00 Sunray Shadow
The final selection was the Skelton trained and ridden Sunray Shadow who’s Provisional odds were posted at 2.5. Winning by a length and a 1/4 the BSP was well within the range at 2.23 and Betangel Fired the bet in 10 seconds before post time catching 2.25

Summary
2 of the 3 selections went off at odds outside the criteria one of them winning but alas one losing
2 of the 3 went off as favourites despite all 3 being ranked as provisional favourite.
Betangel fired just one bet and this returned 125% ROI
Given the strike rate of the criteria when back tested (68%) 2 actual winners from our query seemed to tentatively back this trend.

Cautionary note
While this was a completely genuine test run you should not go out and back every Aintree runner with a BSP of between 2.0 and 2.99 even though I back tested over a period of nearly 2 years results you should always do as much research as you can and start with stakes that you can afford to lose.

Build your bank steadily Racing is not going to finish tommorrow!!!

The staking Machine software has limited use for free but If you want to take advantage of the Selection Hunter you will need to pay – It only costs £24 for 1 year – Twenty Four!! this is not a typo and can be paid via paypal
That’s only 2 quid a month and if you had backed Sunray Shadow for a quid you would have made over 1/2 a months subscription already.

How to Use TSM’s Selection Hunter for Racing Queries

There is a new addition to the TSM armoury called the Selection Hunter and it does exactly what it says! By entering criteria in a series of easy to use drop boxes in its user interface you can quickly build a module/query that shows the runners for today.
As a demonstration I will build a query for todays racing at Aintree using the backtest mode and then post the selections before racing starts.
We need to open the selection hunter first and this is achieved by opening TSM and then clicking on the racecards tab at the top and then clicking on the “UK/IRE Horse Racing Selection Hunter” shown below.

This will open the selection Hunter Interface as shown below.

As you can see I have already produced some queries but for this demonstration I will start from scratch.

To start a new query click the first tick box and then, under criteria, select RaceMeet from the first dropdown box make sure “Like” is populated in the String Op box and Type the race course name into the value box as shown below.

Make sure the Back Test Mode switch is set to on and the date range is Jan 23 – Now by selecting it from the date range drop down box and then Click the run query using settings below at the top of the interface.
This has produced 991 results which in effect is the number of horses that have run at Aintree since January 2023. We need to now analyse this queries results by clicking the box which is arrowed above. This will open the screen shown below

Next click the additional breakdown button arrowed to bring up the following screen.

We can now drill down our query to specific criteria such as Jockey, Trainer, Racerunners etc. For this demonstration I will select odds from this dropdown list to produce the following screen.

From this screen we can determine the optimum odds that produced the greatest strike rate and in this case with a strike rate of 68% odds of 2 to 2.99 BSP produced a return on Investment of 61.4% We can now enter these figures into the Selection Hunter interface as follows.

Under criteria and in the second dropdown box select “Provisional Odds” then in Num Op select >= then in the value box type 2 – this tells the query to look for horses that raced at Aintree in this period that had odds of 2.00 or more
In the next box down select provisional odds again but in the Num Op box select < and the value type 3 – this tells the query to look for horses that had provisional odds of less than 3
Make sure both tick boxes are filled nest to provisional odds and click the Run Query button again This will bring up the next screen shown below.

This is a very basic query which when run with the back test mode switched off will list all todays runners at Aintree that have a provisional starting price between 2.00 and 2.99 as shown below.

Thre are 4 runners today that meet this criteria and if you notice there are 2 selections for the 3 o clock – Sunray Shadow and Takt Des Touques. In the column next to Prov Odds you will see Prov Odds Rank and this is another factor that you can drill the criteria down by as shown below

In the screenshot above I have expanded the interface so this picture is not vey clear but if you click the image you will see a lot more information is readily available for each runner
So we have our short list of runners and with the strike rate of this query being 68% we can expect 2 of the 3 to win as long as the BSP is between 2.00 and 2.99
We can use Betangel to place or bets for us at the BSP range specified. ie 2.00 – 2.99

The selections are
13:50 Stage Star
14:25 Copperhead
15:00 Sunray Shadow.

Hugh Taylors Selections 7th June – Don’t be in a Rush To Back His Selections

Further to my post on Bookies and Tipsters I will be following Hugh Taylors Tips and Backing each one for a £5.00 Profit with SkyBet. Not at the advised odds but at whatever odds are available at the time but because Skybet like to pay out on extra places and offer few races with Best Odds Guaranteed I will be backing them at SP with a stake that will give a £5.00 profit at the odds given at the time.

Yesterday Hugh had 2 selections, both at Thirsk and the first was a non runner. Miss Bodacious was tipped to win the 3:38 but was withdrawn
The second Lord Abama ran in the 4:40 and was advised at 11/2 (6.5)
I backed it late with a stake of £1.81 at S.P. to win £5.00 at the available odds 11/4 (3.75)
My Profit for the month before this bet stood at £11.30
Lord Abama won at an S.P. of 4/1 (5.0)

This gave me an additional profit of £2.24 over my £5.00 target figure

My total profit for the month now stands at £18.54

Hugh Taylor – Don’t be in a Rush To Back His Selections 6th June

What a couple of days!!
Needed a puncture repaired yesterday on my wife’s car so was only able to post the results but did manage to get the bets on and today I was caught up in that disaster area called Oxford with no way round it as my last delivery this morning was in Bicester. So I am sat with a great big Gin and Tonic
This post will serve as both information and results
Wednesday saw a good winner in Phoenix Passion yielding a £6.75 profit giving an overall profit for the month of £7.36.

Hugh Taylor tipped 3 horses yesterday and the same format for my bets remains the same with the exception of Half Moon Rising which runs in the 5:10 at Haydock and is first to run and is an e/w bet. For this I worked out the stake needed for the £5.00 profit and simply did an e/w bet at S.P doubling the stake so to speak.
As I mentioned Half Moon Rising ran first at Haydock in the 5:10
Advised Odds were 28/1 (29.0)
By the time i was able to get a bet on the odds had dropped to 11/1 (12) so the stake was 45p E/W this being a total of 90p

I did think that this might have had a halfway chance as SkyBet were paying 4 places, should have known better but the odds did drift not as much to the advised price but to 18/1 (19.0)
Next on the card was Alpen Power running at Chelmsford in the 6:45 and I backed it for £1.50 at S.P. which means that the odds available must have been around 10/3 (4.33) from an advised price of 9/2

As you can see the price continued to shorten until post time
Finally and when I was on my way to Dagenham for my first delivery Divine Breath ran in the 8:15 also at Chelmsford. Backed at S.P. at odds relating to a £5.00 profit of 11/8 (2.38) down from advised odds of 2/1 (3.0)

The odds recovered a bit, not to the level of the advised price but enough to give me an extra £1.34 over my £5.00 target.
So another win yesterday has increased my Monthly profit to £11.30.

Next post will be Todays selections and bet amounts.

Hugh Taylor – Dont be in a Rush To Back His Selections 5th June

Further to my post on Bookies and Tipsters I will be following Hugh Taylors Tips and Backing each one for a £5.00 Profit with SkyBet. Not at the advised odds but at whatever odds are available at the time but because Skybet like to pay out on extra places and offer few races with Best Odds Guaranteed I will be backing them at SP with a stake that will give a £5.00 profit at the odds given at the time.

Four selections today and going into the 5th day with a profit of £3.78
First selection to run today is

4:27 Nottingham : Phoenix Passion
Advised Odds 5/2 (3.5)
Odds available at 10:00 : 13/8 (2.63)
Stake £3.07
Result –

Second to run is

5:35 Kempton : Remaat
Advised Odds 11/1 (12.0)
Odds available at 10:00 : 3/1 (4.0)
Stake £1.67
Result –

Odds of 3/1 taken as SkyBet are offering Best Odds Guaranteed

The third Selection was City House in 7:15 at Kempton but has been withdrawn and is a non-runner.


Fourth and Final Selection today is
7:45 Kempton : Miss Kubelik
Advised Odds 9/2 (5.5)
Odds available at 10.00 10/3 (4.33)
Stake £1.50
Result –

Good Luck all – need it – these bets take me into a Loss state 😂

Hugh Taylor – Dont be in a Rush To Back His Selections 4th June

Further to my post on Bookies and Tipsters I will be following Hugh Taylors Tips and Backing each one for a £5.00 Profit with SkyBet. Not at the advised odds but at whatever odds are available at the time but because Skybet like to pay out on extra places and offer few races with Best Odds Guaranteed I will be backing them at SP with a stake that will give a £5.00 profit at the odds given at the time.

Only one selection today and is as Follows

Lingfield 8:15
Advised Odds 9/1 (10.0)
Odds available at 09:30 : 4/1 (5.0)
Stake 1.25
Result –